On Tuesday, US stock markets rallied. The Dow was up over 500 points. That led a lot of people to conclude that the recent declines were just a correction. But as Peter Schiff pointed out in his most recent podcast, bear markets have rallies. Just because the market goes up a few days doesn’t mean we haven’t entered a bear market. The fact is — at this point we just don’t know.
But the dynamics are in place for a bear market. In fact, Peter has said the recession is obviously coming.
On Oct. 10, the IMF released its Global Financial Stability report, highlighting increased levels of risk revealed by a number of global metrics. Just after the report was released, stocks in the US, Europe and Asia lost 4%, 3% and 4% respectively over three days.
As a recent investment update released by the World Gold Council points out, although stocks rebounded and regained some of those losses, the IMF report and subsequent market pullback “underline the relevance of holding gold in the near and long term.”
The stock market has been rocked over the last week but gold has rallied. In his most recent podcast, Peter called gold “the real standout in the market.”
The price of gold finally woke up — or traders work up and notice how cheap gold is.”
In the wake of the stock market plunge last week, Pre. Donald Trump said the market drop wasn’t because of his trade war. Trump said, “That wasn’t it. The problem I have is with the Fed. The Fed is going wild. They’re raising interest rates and it’s ridiculous.” He also said the Fed is “going loco.” In a Thursday interview, the president doubled down, saying “I’m paying interest at a high rate because of our Fed. And I’d like our Fed not to be so aggressive because I think they’re making a big mistake.”
Peter Schiff appeared on Fox Business Countdown to the Closing Bell along with National Alliances head of fixed income Andy Brenner to talk rate hikes, the stock market and where things might go next.
Could we be heading toward $5,000 gold?
Last week, there was a big sell-off in the bond market. Yields on the 10-year Treasury soared 11 basis points in one day. Global stock markets sold off the following morning and US stock markets followed suit. This week, things really got really ugly on Wall Street. The Dow dropped over 1,300 points in two days. In a video for SchiffGold, Peter Schiff said stock market investors “finally took notice of the carnage that was going on in the bond market.”
On Thursday, the price of gold popped, rising nearly 3%. But despite all of the action this week, most people in the mainstream remain complacent. The narrative is that this is a normal bull market correction. Peter said nothing could be further from the truth.
The economy is even a bigger bubble than the stock market.”
The SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap podcast combines a succinct summary of the week’s precious metals news coupled with thoughtful analysis. You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes.
The Dow Jones fell 831 points Wednesday, a decline of more than 3%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 charted its biggest daily decline since February and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 4.08 percent. This follows on the heels of a 200-point drop in the Dow last week after the 10-year US Treasury yield hit the highest level since 2011.
In a podcast last week, Peter Schiff said rising interest rates could serve as the pin that pricks the stock market bubble. In his most recent podcast, Peter said the stock market rout seems to confirm his feeling and warned a recession will follow.
US stock markets plunged Wednesday, shedding over 800 points. Could the be the popping bubble Ron Paul recently said was on the horizon? That remains to be seen. But equities in many emerging markets have been shedding value for several months. Take India for instance. As a recent article in the Economic Times of India put it, “Asset classes are in a state of churn. One look at the chaos in domestic equities is enough to suggest that not all is well with this segment.”
So what are Indian investors doing? Buying gold.
The mainstream is giddy about the “booming economy.” We have rising stock markets, continued job creation and solid GDP growth. But Ron Paul recently appeared on CNBC Futures Now and threw a big bucket of cold water on the mainstream narrative. He said we are barreling toward a recession.
The end of last week was tough on US stock markets. The Dow fell off about 200 points on Thursday and another 180 on Friday. But despite those drops, the Dow was only down slightly on the week. The NASDAQ, on the other hand, fell more than 3% last week and the S&P 500 was off about 1%.
As Peter Schiff pointed out in his most recent podcast, the catalyst was rising interest rates, which the markets have been basically ignoring up until last week. Granted, the stock market drops weren’t steep compared to an October crash, but there is still plenty of time left in the month. Peter noted that high interest rates served as the backdrop for Black Monday in October 1987.
