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Exploring Finance

Comex Delivery Countdown: Mid-July Update

This analysis focuses on gold and silver data provided by the Comex/CME Group. See the article What is the Comex for more detail. Silver: Recent Delivery Month First Position Day is when contracts must post 100% margin to stand for delivery. Once delivery begins, contracts can settle in cash, or more contracts can be opened […]

US Budget Deficit Analysis: June 2021

The US Budget Analysis shows the deficit or surplus of the US Federal Government. A deficit occurs when spending (outlays) is greater than income (receipts). When the US Budget is in deficit (which it has been for over 2 decades), it accounts for one of the two components of the Twin Deficits. The trade deficit […]

Gold and Silver Pricing Update: Mid July 2021

Many variables can drive the price of gold and silver. These include Fed meetings/speeches, inflation data, jobs numbers, risk appetite, etc. Some people speculate that the price is suppressed and manipulated by the banks and Fed. While coordinated suppression is not impossible, there are other more probable explanations for gold and silver price action. This […]

US Debt Analysis: June 2021

The US Government is on an unsustainable debt trajectory. Even though the Federal Reserve has acknowledged this fact, most mainstream figures consider it a distant problem or even not an issue at all. The argument highlights that debt fears have raged since the debt crossed $1T decades ago and no negative consequences have materialized. This […]

Comex Stock Update: July 2021

This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. It provides historical context and defines many of the terms used below. While it is exciting to track the countdown to First Notice to determine how many contracts will stand for delivery in […]

Trade Deficit Analysis: May 2021

The US trade balance shows the deficit and surplus of US trade for imports and exports. A deficit occurs when imports are greater than exports. When the trade balance is in deficit, it accounts for one of the two components of the twin deficits. The fiscal deficit accounts for the other component and will be […]

Comex June/July 2021 Update

This analysis focuses on gold and silver data provided by the Comex/CME Group. The Comex allows investors/traders to gain exposure to commodities using futures contracts. Contracts can settle for delivery of the physical commodity. Tracking the demand for physical metal can give better insight into the market. See the article What is the Comex for […]

The Fed in a Box Part 2: They Cannot End Quantitative Easing

If the Fed tapers QE, it may reveal waning appetite for long-term treasuries The Treasury may have used its cash balance reserve to anchor inflation expectations If inflation persists, the Fed may have to increase rather than decrease QE Note: By definition, inflation is an expansion of the money supply. In this article, inflation will […]

The Fed in a Box Part 1: They Cannot Raise Interest Rates

3 Key Takeaways The US Government has over $28 Trillion in Debt Much of the debt is short-term, making it extra sensitive to higher rates Higher Interest Rates would immediately start putting strain on the Federal Budget Introduction The US has over $28 Trillion dollars in debt and it continues to grow at an alarming […]

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