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Original Analysis

POSTED ON November 2, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Chalk one up for the status quo.

As expected, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady in a range between 5.25 and 5.5% for the second straight FOMV meeting, and chairman Jerome Powell was intentionally noncommital about future Fed moves.

POSTED ON October 26, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

This article defines credit, a subject upon which there is a lack of public knowledge. What people call money is in fact credit, and money itself, which is physical gold without counterparty risk, rarely if ever circulates. Nearly everyone, including most economists, fails to understand credit and the importance of its value being tied to money.

Nor do they understand that bank credit is just a minor part of the colossal system of credit.

POSTED ON October 12, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

“Hotter than expected.”

This seems to be a recurring theme when it comes to price inflation.

The September CPI data gave us another variation on that tune. And it should once again remind us that the Federal Reserve is nowhere near its 2% target.

POSTED ON October 12, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

An important error in statistical analysis is that mathematical economists have lost sight of what their beloved statistics represent —none more so than with GDP.

In this analysis, I explain why GDP is simply the total of accumulating currency and credit which is wrongly taken to reflect economic progress — there being no such thing as economic growth, only the growth of credit. Once that point is grasped, the significance of this basic error becomes clear, and the fiat currency paradigm is revealed for what it is: a funny money game that will go horribly wrong.

POSTED ON October 5, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

This article looks at the collateral side of financial transactions and some significant problems that are already emerging.

At a time when there is a veritable tsunami of dollar credit in foreign hands overhanging markets, it is obvious that continually falling bond prices will ensure bear markets in all financial asset values leading to dollar liquidation. This unwinding corrects an accumulation of foreign-owned dollars and dollar-denominated assets since the Second World War both in and outside the US financial system.

POSTED ON October 3, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Price inflation has been even worse than advertised.

Of course, you know that because you’ve lived it. But it is nice when the data crunchers swerve a little closer to reality.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis did just that, revising its Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data higher for the entirety of this inflation cycle.

POSTED ON September 29, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

As the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note soared, gold and silver came under selling pressure this week. But ahead of the weekend, bear closing in precious metals is evident. In European trade this morning, silver rallied to $23.00, down a net 55 cents from last Friday’s close. And gold traded at $1871, down a net $53. The numbers in other currencies were not nearly so grim due to dollar strength. The chart below shows the dollar’s Trade Weighted Index:

POSTED ON September 28, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

With the Asian hegemons undoubtedly able to introduce gold standards, where does that leave the dollar?

This article describes just how precarious the fiat dollar’s position has become.

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