The federal government added another $200 billion-plus to the budget deficit in August, pushing the fiscal 2020 budget shortfall to over $3 trillion with one month still left in the fiscal year.
Uncle Sam continues to rack up enormous monthly budget deficits. The August shortfall came in at $200.1 billion, according to the Treasury Department’s Monthly Treasury Statement, pushing the fiscal 2020 budget shortfall to $3.01 trillion. That’s more than double the previous record deficit of 1.413 trillion set in FY 2009 at the height of the financial crisis.
Wildfires are raging out of control in western states doing millions of dollars in damage and disrupting countless lives. In a recent podcast, Peter Schiff said the Federal Reserve has set an even fiercer wildfire – inflation. And we are in danger of it burning out of control through the entire US economy.
Last month, the Federal Reserve moved its inflation goalposts. Is it setting us up for a return to the inflation of the 1970s?
During a speech at Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced new policy guidance for how it addresses price inflation. In the past, the central bank has targeted a 2% inflation rate as measured by CPI. Now it will shift to “average inflation targeting.” In practice, the Fed will allow the CPI to run “moderately” over 2% “for some time” to balance out periods where it runs under that level. In effect, the central bank now has an excuse to let inflation run hot.
There was a tremendous amount of volatility in the stock market this week with the NASDAQ entering correction territory and then rebounding. Is this just a blip on the radar? Or is the biggest bubble ever running out of steam? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey talks about it. He also digs into what’s going on in the housing market and what it’s telling us about the broader economy.
Globally, gold-holding in ETFs increased for the ninth straight month in August with the appetite for gold notably increasing in Asian markets.
ETFs added a net 39 tons of gold last month, according to the latest data from the World Gold Council.
Last month, we reported that mortgage delinquencies charted their biggest quarterly rise ever. Digging more deeply into the numbers, we find even more trouble brewing in the subprime mortgage market.
Of the 8 million active mortgages the FHA insures, 17% were delinquent in July. That ranks as the highest level in history. That translates to about 1.4 million delinquent FHA loans.
Central banks bought over 27 tons of gold in July, but big sales by two banks dropped net global purchases to 8.8 tons, according to the latest data by the World Gold Council.
Peter Schiff recently called the stock market the biggest bubble ever. But he says he should have qualified that by saying it’s the biggest stock market bubble ever. There is an even bigger bubble floating out there – the dollar bubble. Peter talked about that in his podcast.
Last month, the Federal Reserve moved the goalposts when it changed its inflation targeting policy. In the past, the central bank has targeted a 2% inflation rate as measured by CPI. Now it will shift to “average inflation targeting.” In effect, the Fed will allow the CPI to run “moderately” over 2% “for some time” to balance out periods where it runs under that level.
We have argued that this isn’t some kind of technical policy shift due to new economic insights. It’s a necessary move because the Fed can’t stop printing money and price inflation is an inevitable side-effect.