There is plenty of bad news out there. We have a trade war. Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran and the US and Russia are high. Turkey is in the midst of a currency crisis that some fear will spread beyond that country’s borders. So, why aren’t people seeking safe haven and buying gold and silver?
The CEO at Australia’s Perth Mint has a theory. Richard Hayes said bad news has become so prevalent nobody really pays attention to it anymore. In a nutshell, bad news has become the norm. As a Bloomberg report put it, “Investors have grown immune to the economic and geopolitical risks that typically drive haven demand for gold.”
Turkey has been in the headlines over the last few weeks as a currency crisis has rocked that country. But as Peter Schiff pointed out in his most recent podcast, all of the things commentators are frying Turkey over are happening in the US as well.
All of the criticism that is being leveled against Turkey – that their deficits are too big, that they have a current account deficit, they’re keeping interest rates artificially low, they’re keeping interest rates below the rate of inflation – all of that criticism can be applied to the United States.”
Are US Treasuries a good investment right now?
Not if you consider the rising inflation rate. In fact, in his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff called US Treasuries a “lousy deal.”
The International Monetary Fund dissed the dollar in its annual External Sector Report, saying the greenback is overvalued.
According to a Reuters report, the IMF report also said that “nearly half of global current account balances are now excessive, adding to growth risks and trade tensions.”
The price of gold hit six-month lows in recent days, primarily driven down by a surging dollar. Peter Schiff has been saying investors shouldn’t get too caught up in greenback hoopla. This is likely an upside correction in a dollar bear market. As it turns out, Peter is not alone in this assessment. At least a few mainstream analysts agree, and they see gold rallying by the end of the year, according to Bloomberg.
If you saw the headlines about the latest retail sales figures, you probably noticed adjectives like “hot,” “booming” and “sizzling.” Total retail sales including food services were up 5.9% year-on-year in May.
That’s an impressive number until you factor in inflation. In fact, a decline in the dollar’s purchasing power accounted for nearly half the gains in retail sales.