The September Federal Reserve meeting wrapped up this week with another 75 basis point rate hike. And Fed Chairman Jerome Powell admitted that there is going to be some pain as the central bank continues to fight inflation. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey reacts to the meeting and the Fed’s messaging. He said he thinks Powell & Co. are drastically understanding the coming pain.
September gold has been a very strong delivery month with 8,573 contracts being delivered plus an additional 718 in open interest that will be delivered over the next week (9,219 total). It is currently still below the July month but could exceed the total by the time the month completes due to mid-month activity.
This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange. See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. The charts and tables below specifically analyze the physical stock/inventory data at the Comex to show the physical movement of metal into and out of Comex vaults.
While gold dropped last week, silver rallied. Peter Schiff called it a “silver lining” that could indicate we’re near the bottom in the precious metals dip.
Gold and silver have sold off with every inflation surprise to the upside. The markets think persistent inflation means the Fed will get even more aggressive with rate hikes. They fail to realize that the central bank will not bend this inflation curve.
The federal government ran a $220 billion deficit in August. It was the largest monthly deficit since last July.
We got the August CPI data this week and it came in hotter than expected. Stocks suffered a big selloff. Everybody is betting on the Fed to get even more aggressive in its inflation fight. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey breaks down the data and exposes a dirty little secret that the mainstream still hasn’t come to grips with.
The CPI data for August came in hotter than expected, sparking the biggest market crash since the 2020 COVID lockdowns. The price of gold also dropped on the news in anticipation of the Federal Reserve taking interest rates higher. Peter Schiff talked about the inflation news on his podcast and said investors need to get gold now before the entry point rises a lot higher. Because at some point the markets are going to figure the Fed can’t bend this inflation curve.
The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for August came in nearly flat again at 0.09% MoM, dropping to 8.3% YoY. Expectations had been for -0.1% MoM and 8.1% YoY so the market had a very negative reaction to the report.
The recent death of Queen Elizabeth II is squeezing gold and silver bullion coin markets that were already strained by tight supplies.
There was an immediate and dramatic surge in demand for gold and silver bullion coins bearing the queen’s effigy upon her passing. According to News.com.au in Australia, “Collectors are scrambling to get their hands on coins with Queen Elizabeth’s face as prices skyrocket after her death.”
This week was the calm before the storm that will begin next week with the August CPI data and continue with the September FOMC meeting the following week. Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey takes advantage of the lull to cover some interesting topics including some more tough talk on inflation from Jerome Powell, the prospect of the Fed recording its first operating loss since 2023, and silver on sale.
