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Peter's Blog

Get the latest headlines, market analysis, and original content from SchiffGold.

Posts Tagged: “PMI“

July 26, 2025 Original Analysis

PMI Manufacturing Falls, Following Richmond Fed’s Index

July’s advance purchasing-manager numbers paint a tale of two economies. The S&P Global Flash U.S. Composite PMI jumped to 54.6—its best showing in seven months—thanks almost entirely to a roaring service sector that notched a 55.2 reading. Manufacturing, by contrast, slipped back into contraction territory at 49.5, a full three points below Wall Street’s consensus […]

March 26, 2025 Original Analysis

Consumer Confidence Plunges as Recession Signs Multiply

U.S. consumer confidence suffered a sharp blow yesterday, plummeting 7.2 points to 92.9, according to the latest data from the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. Alarmingly, the Expectations Index, which measures consumers’ short-term outlook on the economy, tumbled to 65.2—its lowest level in 12 years—breaking well below the critical 80-point threshold that traditionally signals an […]

March 25, 2025 Original Analysis

Flash PMI Data: Manufacturing Struggles

The latest S&P Global Flash US PMI Composite Output Index for March signaled a mixed economic outlook, rising to 53.5 from February’s 51.6. Stronger performance in services gave optimism, as the Flash US Services PMI Business Activity Index surged notably to 54.3, up from the prior month’s 51.0. However, manufacturing painted a different, troubling picture: […]

Recession this year
January 30, 2024 Peter's Podcast

Peter Schiff: The Economy May Already Be in Recession

Recent data have many cheerful about the economy. But according to Peter in his latest podcast, the economy may already be in recession. Here are some of Peter’s biggest causes for concern:

Dark Ages Housing and US manfuacturing
January 22, 2024 Peter's Podcast

Peter Schiff: The Dark Ages for US Housing and Manufacturing

The president touted a manufacturing renaissance. However, economic indices show US manufacturing entering a Dark Age. Home sales are not looking bright, either.

October 26, 2022 Key Gold Headlines

Recession Warning: October PMI Tanks

People keep saying the economy is fine. We’re not in a recession. There’s nothing to see here. Meanwhile, business activity contracted for the fourth straight month in October.

August 24, 2022 Key Gold Headlines

Private Sector Business Activity at Lowest Level Since COVID Lockdowns

In yet another sign the economy is tanking, private-sector business activity contracted for the second straight month in August. The S&P Global flash composite purchasing managers index (PMI) dropped to 45 this month from a reading of 47.3 in July. A print below 50 indicates a contraction in economic activity.