Peter's Blog

A groundbreaking pilot program in China now allows 10 major insurance companies—including PICC Property & Casualty and China Life Insurance—to allocate up to 1% of their assets to gold bullion. This policy, effective last Friday, translates into a potential investment pool of nearly 200 billion yuan (approximately $27.4 billion), according to Minsheng Securities. The move […]

Please note: the CoTs report was published 12/30/2024 for the period ending 12/24/2024. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

Last Tuesday, Jason Burack, host of “Wall St for Main St,” interviewed Peter. They cover the state of gold and silver markets, the similarities between 2024 and 2008, and the flaws with government data. Peter also predicts a return to QE-style Fed policy in the near future. 

On the latest episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter highlights the big news of the week: gold set a new all time high price. He also reviews new Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data, comments on Donald Trump’s proposal for a government efficiency committee, and forecasts a return to 2008-era quantitative easing policies.

Peter’s back in Puerto Rico for this episode. He explains his theory behind the market’s bounce back last week, notes why last week’s panic bodes poorly for Bitcoin, and comments on two major political events— Kamala Harris’s VP pick and the “hate speech” clamp-down in the United Kingdom.

This analysis attempts to look at different metrics to understand the current momentum in the gold and silver markets. It is meant as an analysis on potential price direction in the very short-term (a few weeks to 1-2 months).

The CME Comex is the Exchange where futures are traded for gold, silver, and other commodities. The CME also allows futures buyers to turn their contracts into physical metal through delivery. You can find more detail on the CME here (e.g., vault types, major/minor months, delivery explanation, historical data, etc.).

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

Please note: the CoTs report was published 06/28/2024 for the period ending 06/25/2024. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

The Comex report for last month correctly identified a potential big move in silver while the same report two months ago preceded a massive up move for the price of gold. The data this month is not as obvious or compelling, but it is clear the stress on the Comex continues to build.