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Posts Tagged: “fiscal deficits“
July 15, 2024
・Original Analysis
Inflation “Cooled” in June, So Why is Consumer Confidence Still Tanking?
The recent CPI report showed that inflation is, according to official data, cooling down — so why are consumers more worried for the future than they’ve been in months? If prices are coming down, shouldn’t that fuel higher confidence and a greater collective sense of economic well-being? One simple answer is that the official data […]
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July 11, 2024
・Original Analysis
The Yield Curve & Christine Lagarde Agree — Don’t Expect A “Soft Landing”
An inverted Treasury yield curve has historically been associated with economic downturns, preceding every recession since the late 1960s. Earlier this year, it set a new record for remaining inverted for more than 624 days, which was the 1978 record.