Peter’s Blog

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made a definitive statement during Tuesday’s Senate hearing, affirming that as long as he remains at the helm, the Fed will not develop its own digital currency. During his semiannual testimony on monetary policy and regulation, Powell was asked by Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio) if he would commit to forgoing […]

A groundbreaking pilot program in China now allows 10 major insurance companies—including PICC Property & Casualty and China Life Insurance—to allocate up to 1% of their assets to gold bullion. This policy, effective last Friday, translates into a potential investment pool of nearly 200 billion yuan (approximately $27.4 billion), according to Minsheng Securities. The move […]

With the fallout from President Trump’s tariffs still echoing throughout the economy, many are lauding the president’s policies as valuable leverage against trade allies. What these praises miss, however, are the unintended consequences of protectionism and the depressing effect of political uncertainty on economic activity.

Just like that, Trump’s trade war with Canada and Mexico has already ended (or at least been “paused”) before it even began. With gold hitting record new highs and the second Trump administration not even a month old, you can bet it won’t be the first “Trump Shock” to send waves through markets and media.

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

On Friday, Peter went live to discuss the first trading week of Donald Trump’s second term. Throughout the episode, he describes the dangers of excessive consumption and how global investment in AI might sedate the economy in the short run. He also explains the recent drop in the U.S. dollar and gives his unfiltered take […]

Critics of the Fed are well-versed in arguments against central banking. It enables reckless spending and creates monetary confusion, and it distorts prices for consumers. History also reveals another troubling result of central banking: more frequent and deadlier war.

Gold futures soared on the back of yesterday’s December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, climbing by $29.50 (1.10%) to settle at $2,722.60 for the most active February contract. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that overall inflation rose 0.4% in December—exceeding November’s 0.3% pace and slightly above economists’ consensus of 0.3%. On an annual […]

U.S. consumers are bracing for higher prices over the next 12 months, according to the University of Michigan’s latest survey. One-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.3% in January, up significantly from 2.8% in December. This is the steepest increase since May and pushes the short-term outlook above the 2.3%-3.0% range seen in the two years […]

History is replete with examples of major recessions that were ostensibly caused by mere asset bubbles, like subprime mortgages in 2008. The truth, however, is not so simple. In reality, these downturns are exacerbated and often triggered by disastrous government policy, namely excessive spending and the creation of perverse incentives.