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January 28, 2025 Exploring Finance

Is Someone Attacking the Comex? January Sees $5.2B in Gold Deliveries

The CME Comex is the Exchange where futures are traded for gold, silver, and other commodities. The CME also allows futures buyers to turn their contracts into physical metal through delivery. You can find more detail on the CME here (e.g., vault types, major/minor months, delivery explanation, historical data, etc.).

January 24, 2025 Exploring Finance

The Technicals: Short-Term Caution, Medium-Term Bullish

This analysis attempts to look at different metrics to understand the current momentum in the gold and silver markets. It is meant as an analysis on potential price direction in the very short-term (a few weeks to 1-2 months).

January 15, 2025 Exploring Finance

Federal Budget: 2024 Spending Exceeds Covid Years

Federal Budget The Federal Government publishes the spending and revenue numbers on a monthly basis. The charts and tables below give an in depth review of the Federal Budget, showing where the money is coming from, where it is going to, and the surplus or deficit.

January 10, 2025 Exploring Finance

Jobs: Household Survey Finishes the Year 75% Below the Headline Report

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

December 31, 2024 Exploring Finance

CFTC CoTs Report: Froth Leaves the Markets in a Healthy Consolidation

Please note: the CoTs report was published 12/30/2024 for the period ending 12/24/2024. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

December 25, 2024 Exploring Finance

Huge December Delivery Requires Comex to Restock Inventories

The CME Comex is the Exchange where futures are traded for gold, silver, and other commodities. The CME also allows futures buyers to turn their contracts into physical metal through delivery. You can find more detail on the CME here (e.g., vault types, major/minor months, delivery explanation, historical data, etc.).

December 11, 2024 Exploring Finance

CPI: Shelter Prices are Rising 4.7% YoY

This analysis takes the BLS inflation data and recalculates the percentage changes at the category level to get unrounded numbers. The total number ties to the BLS, but it gives more detail at the granular level.

December 9, 2024 Exploring Finance

Jobs: Household Survey Shows Negative Job Gains YTD

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

The Federal Balance Sheet
December 2, 2024 Exploring Finance

The Fed Dramatically Slows the Pace of QT

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.

November 27, 2024 Exploring Finance

Money Supply Growth Continues to Accelerate

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.