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July 10, 2023 Original Analysis

The Federal Reserve Should Invest in a Dartboard

Most people believe members of the Federal Reserve are highly trained experts who are imminently qualified to run monetary policy.  Guided by this perception, the mainstream treats Fed pronouncements as gospel. But if you compare Fed projections to actual outcomes, it looks like they’re just guessing. In fact, you would probably get more accurate results […]

July 5, 2023 Original Analysis

An Amazing Freak Show: Treasury Increases National Debt By Over $850 Billion in Just One Month

A month ago, the fake debt ceiling fight ended and Congress suspended the federal government’s borrowing limit for two years. Since the debt ceiling deal, the US Treasury has added a staggering $851 billion to the national debt.

July 4, 2023 Original Analysis

Happy Insurrection Day!

Today we celebrate insurrection. No. I don’t mean the fake Jan. 6, 2021, “insurrection.” I’m talking about the bonafide insurrection staged by American colonists against the British government. We call July 4 “Independence Day.” But the British called it an act of rebellion.

July 3, 2023 Original Analysis

Fed Economists Warn of Looming Disaster Due to High Interest rates

A note recently published by two Federal Reserve economists reveals a looming catastrophe. The Fed’s interest rate hikes have already precipitated a financial crisis. The central bank managed to paper over that problem and get it out of the headlines with a bailout program. But it didn’t solve the problems. Banks continue to tap into […]

June 27, 2023 Original Analysis

Interest on the National Debt Poised to Rise at an Alarming Rate

Since the end of the fake debt ceiling fight on June 2, the Treasury has borrowed an additional $700 billion pushing the national debt over $32 trillion. Looking at the interest rates on this new debt, it becomes clear that the US government has a big problem.

June 26, 2023 Original Analysis

What Would the Founding Fathers Say About Our National Debt?

The national debt recently blew past $32 trillion. As we approach America’s birthday on July 4, it might be a good time to consider what the founding fathers would have thought about this massive indebtedness.

June 26, 2023 Original Analysis

What’s Going on With the Fed Balance Sheet?

We tend to focus a lot on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, while the central bank’s balance sheet stays in the background. But the balance sheet arguably has more impact on the economy over the long run. Since the Fed began hiking interest rates in March 2022, it has also shrunk the balance sheet. […]

June 21, 2023 Original Analysis

Jerome Powell’s Open-Mouth Operations

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday (June 21). The Fed chief engaged in some more open-mouth operations, trying to guide monetary policy with words instead of actions. To understand a few things he said, you have to read between the lines. Oh, and he also got at […]

June 21, 2023 Original Analysis

The National Debt Is a Ticking Time Bomb

Last week, the national debt pushed above $32 trillion. This is a ticking time bomb that will eventually explode.

June 19, 2023 Original Analysis

National Debt Quietly Blows Past $32 Trillion

The great anti-federalist Brutus wrote, “I can scarcely contemplate a greater calamity that could befall this country, than to be loaded with a debt exceeding their ability ever to discharge.” And here we are. With little fanfare, the national debt blew past $32 trillion last week.