Peter’s Blog

In April, the U.S. economy added a disappointing 175,000 jobs, falling short of expectations and nudging unemployment up to 3.9% (see current trends here). This signals a slowing economy that might force the Federal Reserve to put the guard rails back on. Our guest commentator gives a deeper look at a worrisome trajectory: while part-time […]

Joel and JD unravel the shocking economic turmoil of the week, spotlighting the catastrophic collapse of Republic First Bank, alarming jobs data, and Powell’s foreboding speech. With the Fed confessing anxiety about inflation and pulling rate cuts off the path, it’s now clear: we’re in dangerous territory with no guard rails in sight!

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the headline number, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

Cocoa prices have dumped since rocketing to a dramatic peak last month as an El Nino cycle winds down and traders rush out of the illiquid market. For now, depreciating fiat currencies are still keeping the cocoa price still far above its 2023 levels. Coffee has had a similar rise and subsequent correction — but now, inflation and other factors are conspiring to […]

Last week Scott Melker interviewed Peter on The Wolf of All Streets podcast. They have a friendly discussion about Bitcoin’s future, the differences between gold and crypto, and the overlap in the crypto and precious metals movements.

California’s government bet that they knew better than the free market. And now millions are paying the price. The story begins in 1919, when the city of Berkley, California instituted legislation setting aside districts that would only allow the construction of single-family housing. The idea spread, and soon much of California’s urban areas had adopted the zoning policy. Today, approximately 40% of the total land in Los Angeles is […]

The yen was once known as a safe-haven currency for investors to protect themselves when broader markets are shaky or other currencies are dropping, but those days are numbered. A stable government and consistent (and low) interest rates have been some of the driving factors, but it’s the unwinding of that ultra-low interest rate policy that will be the yen’s “safe […]

This analysis attempts to look at different metrics to understand the current momentum in the gold and silver markets. It is meant as an analysis of potential price direction in the very short term (1-2 weeks).

Peter appeared on OAN’s Real America with Dan Ball to discuss new prospective income taxes, the latest idiotic craze in politics. He starts by explaining why President Biden’s desired policy isn’t even an income tax:

Last week Peter appeared on the Futures Radio Show podcast with Anthony Crudele. In their interview, they discuss the factors affecting gold’s price, why the Fed can’t control inflation, and the viability of Bitcoin.