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Peter’s Blog

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May 3, 2024Original Analysis

Inflation Brewing: Is Coffee the Next Cocoa?

Cocoa prices have dumped since rocketing to a dramatic peak last month as an El Nino cycle winds down and traders rush out of the illiquid market. For now, depreciating fiat currencies are still keeping the cocoa price still far above its 2023 levels. Coffee has had a similar rise and subsequent correction — but now, inflation and other factors are conspiring to […]

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May 2, 2024Original Analysis

California’s Single-Family Zoning Exemplifies the Market-Intervention Problem 

California’s government bet that they knew better than the free market. And now millions are paying the price. The story begins in 1919, when the city of Berkley, California instituted legislation setting aside districts that would only allow the construction of single-family housing. The idea spread, and soon much of California’s urban areas had adopted the zoning policy. Today, approximately 40% of the total land in Los Angeles is […]

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May 1, 2024Original Analysis

“Safe Haven” Yen Trending Towards Zero Against Gold

The yen was once known as a safe-haven currency for investors to protect themselves when broader markets are shaky or other currencies are dropping, but those days are numbered. A stable government and consistent (and low) interest rates have been some of the driving factors, but it’s the unwinding of that ultra-low interest rate policy that will be the yen’s “safe […]

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April 29, 2024Guest Commentaries

Chocolate Prices Reflect Rampant Inflation

Beneath the sweet surface of our favorite treats lies a bitter reality: inflation has sent cocoa prices soaring to unprecedented heights. Once deemed the food of the gods and now a daily indulgence for millions, chocolate is facing a dramatic upheaval as wholesale cocoa prices have rocketed past $11,000 per ton. Our guest commentator explains […]

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