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Guest Commentaries

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April 24, 2018Guest Commentaries

Nope, Everything Is Not Great: Just Look at the Data

Everything is great! We’ve heard this mantra over and over again from government officials, TV talking heads and Federal Reserve bankers. But as we’ve been saying, all the optimism in the world can’t trump economic reality. And there are a lot of signs in the global economy indicating everything is not, in fact, great. Dan […]

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April 11, 2018Guest Commentaries

Your Optimism Can’t Trump Economic Reality

You can say, “Everything is great,” all you want. But if it isn’t, it isn’t. Pundits and politicians keep trying to talk up the economy. They might be able to keep optimism running high for a while, but at some point, expectations will run headfirst into economic reality. In his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff […]

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February 8, 2018Guest Commentaries

Political Rhetoric vs. Economic Reality

Just over a week ago, President Trump delivered the State of the Union speech. The president gave a speech with a decidedly optimistic tone. This was certainly welcome with the increasingly fractured and divided American political landscape. But it’s important to focus beyond the political theater and take a hard look at where the US economy […]

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December 27, 2017Guest Commentaries

The Fed Plays the Economy Like an Accordion

We talk a lot about how central banks serve as the primary force driving the business cycle. When a recession hits, central banks like the Federal Reserve drive interest rates down and launch quantitative easing to stimulate the economy. Once the recovery takes hold, the Fed tightens its monetary policy, raising interest rates and ending QE. […]

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December 19, 2017Guest Commentaries

What Would Real Tax Reform Look Like?

We’ve done extensive reporting on the GOP tax reform bill as it’s moved through Congress. We’ve highlighted a number of concerns about the plan, specifically the significant expansion of the national debt it will cause. Yesterday, we explained how the impact on the deficit will likely be even bigger than expected because of the incentives […]

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