Peter's Blog

13-Week Money Supply Starts Accelerating 

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.  One key metric shown below is the “Wenzel” 13-week annualized money […]

Comex Delivery Not Yet Reflecting Risk That Trump Stacks the Fed

The CME Comex is the Exchange where futures are traded for gold, silver, and other commodities. The CME also allows futures buyers to turn their contracts into physical metal through delivery. You can find more detail on the CME here (e.g., vault types, major/minor months, delivery explanation, historical data, etc.).  The data below looks at […]

The Politics Behind Government Statistics

Recent statistical revisions have reignited debates over the nature of the state’s economic statistics. No matter who’s in power and all intentional data manipulation withstanding, the simple fact is that these metrics contain pro-intervention assumptions and are by nature political. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed do not […]

One Goal, Two Outcomes: Norwegian and Turkish Inflation Targeting Case Study

In a positive turn of events for the Turkish people, yearly inflation reached the lowest it has been in 4 years: 33.5%. This might seem like a laughable accomplishment, but given the turmoil of the Turkish Lira over the past decades, it is a huge positive step. In complete opposition to this, the Norwegian Central […]

The Student Debt Trap

Austrian economists are correct to point out the links between central banking, fiat currency, and the proliferation of bad and unnecessary debt.When society’s money is inflated to serve the interest of the ultimate debtor– the state– bad debt will abound, and the student loan crisis is no different. The following article was originally published by […]

Peter Schiff: Powell Caved — Inflation Wins

On the latest episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter examines the latest turn in Fed policy and the political forces steering it. He argues that the Federal Reserve has reversed course under pressure, that credit expansion still drives price rises, and that foreign central banks are accelerating a move into gold. He also warns […]

Using Tariffs to Reduce the Deficit? Not So Fast

After posturing to use tariffs to eliminate income tax, the Trump administration has now shifted to a narrative that they’ll pay off deficits. Both promises are hollow.  Deficits as massive and persistent as ours demand massive Treasury issuance. That means markets have to absorb ever-larger supply, pushing yields higher if demand fails to keep up. […]

Powell Scraps “Make-Up” Inflation Playbook in Jackson Hole

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell used his Jackson Hole podium on August 22 to declare the end of the central bank’s three-year experiment with “flexible average-inflation targeting.” In its place, the Fed is reverting to a straight-forward but “flexible” 2 percent target, a move that comes as economic momentum cools and goods prices perk up. […]

Peter Schiff:  Interest Payments Are Devouring the Budget

On Thursday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter (joined by a special guest, Schiff Sovereign’s James Hickman) argues that the federal budget is no longer driven by programs so much as by the mounting costs of debt maintenance. The duo covers the headline $37 trillion public debt, how interest has become a mandatory line […]

Schiff on Capitalcosm: Central Banks Are Dumping Dollars for Gold

Peter recently joined Danny on the Capitalcosm YouTube channel to lay out a connected story about reserve shifts, rising interest rates, and an overstated economic optimism at the top. He argues that foreign central banks are moving out of U.S. dollars into gold, that America’s record debt is starting to show in higher yields, and […]