Peter's Blog

War Is On, Oil is Up, Inflation is Coming

Wars always expose economic weaknesses that already exist. And now, as old patterns repeat themselves, we’re seeing higher energy prices, larger government deficits, and rising inflation catalyzed by the US campaign against Iran. The developing situation inIran has already sent shockwaves through global energy markets, pushing oil prices sharply higher and reigniting fears of inflation. […]

Why Governments Don’t Determine Money’s Value

With inflation still running hot and disastrous jobs data coming in, it’s tempting for policymakers to spread myths about the economy, particularly around the origin and nature of money. As the Austrian school demonstrates, fiat money– and all money for that matter– does not derive its value from dictates of the government. The following article […]

The Incentives Behind Our Perpetual Debt

It is no secret that the US Federal Government has great difficulty getting out of and staying out of debt. Whether the State even possesses the power or willpower to get out of debt is not even asked, as Keynesian principles have lionized debt and removed the historical stigma. Things that would not be seen […]

Schiff on Redacted: This War is a Distraction

Peter recently joined Clayton Morris on the Redacted YouTube channel for an interview on the latest economic and geopolitical news. The duo focuses on the economic and geopolitical fallout of a widening Middle East war, and Peter argues that it is already reshaping markets, energy flows, and monetary outcomes. He connects the conflict to higher […]

Schiff w/ Diesen: War Will Wreck the Economy

In his latest interview with Glenn Diesen, Peter focuses on the economic fallout from the recent war and what it means for jobs, inflation, and the dollar. He argues policymakers are stampeding toward more debt and money printing at exactly the wrong time, which makes gold and silver an increasingly sensible hedge for savers who […]

Schiff w/ Nawfal: War is an Economic Scapegoat

On Tuesday, Peter joined Mario Nawfal for a discussion about the constitutional limits on war, the likely political and economic consequences of a U.S. confrontation with Iran, and the fiscal realities that would follow. He ties those foreign-policy risks back to money and markets, warning that debt, central-bank money printing, and a weak production base […]

The Real Cause of Stagflation

With another hot PPI report in the news and a shaky AI trade on Wall Street, the potential for a recession and continued inflation calls to mind the stagflation of the 1970s. As Milton Friedman demonstrated, this dreaded combination is the result of central bankers attempting to pull the wool over Americans’ eyes. The following […]

Trade Deficits Aren’t the Problem – Unsound Money Is

Last week, the Supreme Court struck down the Trump administration’s unconstitutional and economically destructive tariffs. But, as the White House seeks to impose new trade restrictions through other avenues, it’s worth reexamining why trade policy and inflationary monetary policy typically go hand-in-hand. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed […]

Fed is Adding $20B a Month to the Balance Sheet

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening, they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

Rate Cut Crisis Barely Dodged With New Jobs Numbers

Just a few days ago, it seemed that the US was on the verge of a recession. While the long-term trajectory is still one that is far too tenuous to rely on, the recent jobs report seems to suggest that the US is not headed for immediate recession. Although the status of the US in […]