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August 18, 2022Original Analysis

The Mainstream Punditry Never Finds Bad News in Retail Sales Numbers

The mainstream has suddenly discovered price movements impact retail sales. For months, retail sales generally came in higher than expected. And for months the mainstream financial punditry ignored inflation and told us this signaled a strong economy. But in July, retail sales unexpectedly fell flat. Now the mainstream financial punditry claims this signals a strong […]

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August 17, 2022Original Analysis

An Inauspicious Anniversary: Nixon Slams Shut the Gold Window

Fifty-one years ago this week, President Richard Nixon slammed shut the “gold window” and eliminated the last vestige of the gold standard. Nixon ordered Treasury Secretary John Connally to uncouple gold from its fixed $35 price and suspended the ability of foreign banks to directly exchange dollars for gold. During a national television address, on […]

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August 10, 2022Original Analysis

CPI Cools Modestly; How Will the Fed Play This?

As expected, the Consumer Price index cooled a bit thanks to falling gasoline prices. The question is will this give the Federal Reserve the excuse it needs bow out of the inflation fight? The Consumer Price Index for July was up 8.5% year-on-year. That was down from June’s 9.1% print and slightly below the 8.7% […]

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July 28, 2022Original Analysis

Is the Federal Reserve at the End of Its Rope?

The Federal Reserve delivered another 75 basis point interest rate hike at its July FOMC meeting. This pushes the federal funds rate over the 2% threshold to between 2.25% and 2.5%. The mainstream media emphasized the size of the hike. One headline called it “a second super-sized hike,” with many other mainstream pundits noting that […]

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