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Peter’s Blog

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Posts Tagged: “recession

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August 5, 2024Original Analysis

Flattening Yield Curve is the Calm Before the Storm

Americans are already struggling to feed their families and pay their bills, but having predicted every US recession since 1960, the flattening bond yield curve is speaking loud and clear that an “official” downturn is nearly inevitable. With bond prices on the rise as the Fed looks increasingly likely to cut rates in September, the […]

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July 23, 2024Guest Commentaries

Washington Is Behind A Major Real Estate Crisis

The commercial real estate market is showing an “urban-doom-loop”, and Washington’s monetary policies are fueling the flames, pushing investors and banks to the brink. Will the government’s interventionist approach spark an economic catastrophe worse than 2008 that exposes the true cost of their reckless actions?

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May 17, 2024Interviews

Schiff vs. Hanke: Who’s to Blame for Inflation?

Last week, Peter debated Steve Hanke, professor of economics at Johns Hopkins University, on inflation, the debt crisis, and the future of the dollar. David Lin hosted the debate on The David Lin Report and provided moderation for the event. While Peter and Hanke have their disagreements, both ultimately agree that the United States is in rough fiscal and monetary shape, and terrible monetary […]

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May 4, 2024Guest Commentaries

Falling Full-Time Jobs Points Toward Recession

In April, the U.S. economy added a disappointing 175,000 jobs, falling short of expectations and nudging unemployment up to 3.9% (see current trends here). This signals a slowing economy that might force the Federal Reserve to put the guard rails back on. Our guest commentator gives a deeper look at a worrisome trajectory: while part-time […]

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April 14, 2024Guest Commentaries

The Economy Is Reaching a Tipping Point

Beneath the veneer of headline job gains, the American economy teeters on the brink: native employment dwindles as part-time and immigrant jobs surge. Government hiring camouflages looming recession warnings. Inflation and political blunders worsen the crisis, fueling public outrage at the establishment’s mishandling of the economy.

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