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POSTED ON January 29, 2024  - POSTED IN Exploring Finance

A Major Trend Change 

In 2023, the Treasury added $2.6T to the national debt. While that number alone should be enough to scare anyone, the details reveal something even more concerning. $2T of it, or 77%, was financed entirely with short-term Treasury Bills maturing in less than a year. The chart below shows the debt issuance trend over the last 20 years. As shown, the Treasury typically relies on medium-term debt (2-10 Year Notes) to fund the budget deficit. 2023 was a massive change in standard procedure as shown by the giant light blue bar on the right of the chart. 

POSTED ON December 22, 2023  - POSTED IN Friday Gold Wrap

US stocks surged with the promise of interest rate cuts. Then stocks tanked when some Fed officials tried to walk that promise back. Then they surged again when some weak economic data put rate cuts back on the table. As Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey put it, easy money is one heck of a drug! In this episode, he explains the impact of easy money on the economy and the markets, and he speculates about the future.

POSTED ON December 21, 2023  - POSTED IN Peter's Podcast

The US stock market had a potentially significant day on Wednesday. Markets have been rallying on the hope of interest rate cuts in the near future. But Fed officials have been trying to walk back those expectations. Did the central bankers manage to steal the Santa Claus rally? In his podcast, Peter Schiff talks about the recent moves in the stock market.

POSTED ON December 18, 2023  - POSTED IN Peter's Podcast

After the Federal Reserve effectively surrendered to inflation at its December meeting, projecting three rate cuts next year, New York Fed President John Williams tried to walk the surrender back. In his podcast, Peter Schiff analyzed Williams’ more hawkish comments and compared them to Powell’s dovish stance after the FOMC meeting.

Williams said, “We aren’t really talking about rate cuts right now,” and that it’s premature to expect rates to fall in the opening months of 2024.

POSTED ON December 15, 2023  - POSTED IN Friday Gold Wrap

Two weeks ago, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said it would be “premature” to conclude that monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive. This week, the Fed indicated rate cuts are on tap for next year. What a difference two weeks makes! In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey breaks down this week’s Fed meeting and the status of the inflation fight.

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