Peter’s Blog

The Government debt binge has slowed in the latest month, adding only $2B in new debt for January.

In the wake of last week’s FOMC meeting, it’s worth revisiting the economic function of interest rates, which guide economic activity in accordance with societal time preference. In order to suppress the natural rate of interest, central banks must resort to inflation.

Shortly after yesterday’s FOMC announcement, Peter went live to unpack its aftermath. He criticizes the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates steady, offers insight into Jerome Powell’s press conference remarks, and skewers the notion that the Fed remains “apolitical.” Peter also addresses President Trump’s evolving commentary on oil prices and interest rate cuts as 2025’s […]

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

In recent months, the financial landscape has witnessed a notable shift in the relationship between bond yields and gold prices. As bond yields falter and economic uncertainties loom, gold is once again emerging as an asset of stability for investors seeking refuge from market volatility. This resurgence of interest in gold reflects a broader trend […]

U.S. consumers are bracing for higher prices over the next 12 months, according to the University of Michigan’s latest survey. One-year inflation expectations jumped to 3.3% in January, up significantly from 2.8% in December. This is the steepest increase since May and pushes the short-term outlook above the 2.3%-3.0% range seen in the two years […]

Today’s mainstream political narrative would have you believe that inflation is permanently cooling. The data tells a different story, with the money supply growing faster now than it has for more than the last two years.

For the last two years, the media and establishment political class have claimed Fed policy has been sufficiently restrictive to tame inflation. But with Jerome Powell’s recent admission that inflation is higher than it should be, it’s clear that the Fed has not been hawkish enough. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

Last week, Peter joined Kai from the Soar Financially YouTube channel for an interview on the state of the economy, Federal Reserve policy, and the interplay between domestic politics, gold, and inflation. This interview is a great recap of the most important events of 2024, and Peter offers his perspective on what 2025 will hold […]

Powell is admitting that inflation is still too high, but the Fed still plans to cut interest rates by .25%. So why are mortgage rates going up?