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POSTED ON February 8, 2024  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

While broader macroeconomic trends are always what’s most significant for the gold price during any given election, some interesting trends emerge when you look at the numbers. And when an election is contentious, historic, or chaotic as 2024’s promises to be, the outcome is all the more significant for gold.

POSTED ON February 3, 2024  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Amidst rampant peso inflation and his scathing pro-free market speech at Davos, new Argentine president Javier Milei has taken office with radical proposals to overhaul the country. While his brief month and a half in Argentina’s Casa Rosada isn’t long enough to know if his bark will really match his bite, here’s a summary of some of his biggest actions so far:

POSTED ON January 29, 2024  - POSTED IN Exploring Finance

A Major Trend Change 

In 2023, the Treasury added $2.6T to the national debt. While that number alone should be enough to scare anyone, the details reveal something even more concerning. $2T of it, or 77%, was financed entirely with short-term Treasury Bills maturing in less than a year. The chart below shows the debt issuance trend over the last 20 years. As shown, the Treasury typically relies on medium-term debt (2-10 Year Notes) to fund the budget deficit. 2023 was a massive change in standard procedure as shown by the giant light blue bar on the right of the chart. 

POSTED ON January 28, 2024  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries

Federal regulators are plotting a course that could see America’s sturdiest banks tied to a sinking lifeboat. This plan, designed to compel banks to use the Federal Reserve’s discount window, aims to normalize the act of reaching for this financial lifeline amidst turbulent seas. 

It’s as if the Fed is asking the healthiest swimmers to don faulty life jackets first, in a bid to make them seem less alarming to those already struggling to stay afloat. Our guest commentator explains why this strategy, while intended to fortify the banking sector against future storms, would endanger all US banks.

POSTED ON January 25, 2024  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

After a delicate dance of interest rate increases, Jerome Powell has declared victory on inflation and says to expect looser monetary policy this year. But with junk bond spreads not widening nearly as much as one would expect during an era of economic tightening, you’ve got to wonder if money is still actually looser than the Fed’s last round of hikes would lead you to believe. 

POSTED ON January 23, 2024  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Peter was recently featured on Real America hosted by Dan Ball.

It’s no secret that the government has been spending more than it collects, and there are indications that the Biden administration is addressing this issue.

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