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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) drives markets and motivates policy, but it is nothing but speculation, estimation and wild guesses. A recent “tweak” to the health insurance CPI reveals the formula is basically a scam.
Everybody seems convinced that the Federal Reserve has won the inflation fight, there will be no more interest rate hikes, and rate cuts are right around the corner. But as Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey reminds us, it’s not over until the fat lady sings. And she hasn’t sung a note. In this episode, […]
The October CPI came in lower than expected, sparking a rally in stocks, bonds, and gold. Cooling prices reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve won the inflation fight and the rate hiking cycle is over. In his podcast, Peter Schiff explained why the demise of inflation is greatly exaggerated.
For the first time in several months, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in cooler than expected in October, supercharging expectations that the Federal Reserve can relent on its inflation fight. But is the optimism premature?
When it comes to economic data, context matters. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey explains how the Fed, many mainstream economists, and financial network talking heads get a lot wrong because of bad data, shoddy economic frameworks, and ignorance of history. Along the way, he covers the GDP and the […]
There is a persistent myth that inflation was “low” in the decade following the 2008 financial crisis. It’s time to bust that myth.
After the CPI data came out last week, gold rallied. On his podcast, Peter Schiff talked about the rally and the trajectory of gold. He said we can expect even bigger moves up when the markets figure out the inflation problem isn’t solved.
Joe Biden says the economy is great. Paul Krugman says the inflation war is over and we won. But Americans aren’t buying the narrative. They’re growing increasingly worried about the economy and inflation. The University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment tanked in October with inflation worries at the highest level since last May.
Great news! The inflation war is over and we won! At least that’s how Paul Krugman sees it. But he’s playing tricks with the data and making assumptions that are meaningless in the real world. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey dissects Krugman’s claims in light of the September CPI […]
“Hotter than expected.” This seems to be a recurring theme when it comes to price inflation. The September CPI data gave us another variation on that tune. And it should once again remind us that the Federal Reserve is nowhere near its 2% target.
