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POSTED ON March 12, 2024  - POSTED IN Exploring Finance

This analysis takes the BLS inflation data and recalculates the percentage changes at the category level to get unrounded numbers. The total number ties to the BLS, but it gives more detail at the granular level.

POSTED ON December 15, 2023  - POSTED IN Friday Gold Wrap

Two weeks ago, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said it would be “premature” to conclude that monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive. This week, the Fed indicated rate cuts are on tap for next year. What a difference two weeks makes! In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey breaks down this week’s Fed meeting and the status of the inflation fight.

POSTED ON December 14, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

The Federal Reserve just surrendered to inflation.

Fed officials won’t call it a surrender. They’re claiming victory. But surrender is the effect of the policy trajectory laid out by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) at its December meeting.

POSTED ON December 13, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Why do virtually all the mainstream pundits think the Federal Reserve has won the inflation fight?

Maybe it’s just wishful thinking. They want the Fed to win so it can go back to what it does best – creating more inflation with artificially low interest rates and quantitative easing.

Regardless, most of the mainstream punditry hyped the November CPI report as more positive news on the inflation front. The CNBC headline reflected the consensus – inflation “slowed” last month.

Except it really didn’t.

POSTED ON November 22, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Inflation robs you of purchasing power by driving up the price of everything you buy. You see the impacts of inflation every time you go to the store. But sometimes inflation hits you in a more subtle way that’s difficult to see – through “shrinkflation.”

I experienced shrinkflation first-hand last weekend.

POSTED ON November 21, 2023  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) drives markets and motivates policy, but it is nothing but speculation, estimation and wild guesses.

A recent “tweak” to the health insurance CPI reveals the formula is basically a scam.

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