Peter's Blog

Why Gold Based International Trade is No Brainer

With the recent strikes on Iran, the United States’ role on the international stage has become a much larger topic of conversation. No one seems sure of the America that will emerge from the tension between historically serving as the world’s policeman and more recently desiring to step back. Even this step back would still […]

Trump Demands Fed Easing to Finance Even Larger Deficits

While it’s correct to criticize the Federal Reserve for inevitably bungling monetary policy, the Trump administration is wrong to criticize Jerome Powell and the FOMC for failing to cut rates. Printing money, contrary to President Trumps belief, is never the answer.

13-Week Money Supply Growth Accelerates, Bucking Seasonal Trends

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

How We Protect the Fed From Its Own Consequences

While the Fed prints money endlessly, there is always the irresistible feeling that the effects of that printing are not felt in full. The money supply greatly increases and brings inflation in tow, yet life never gets as bad as we would expect it to. The fundamental shifting of money’s value should have an even […]

New Policy Report: Fed has Bad News for Congress

In a report released on Friday, the Fed provided a monetary policy update to congress, highlighting its perspective on keeping rates constant and its outlook on the future of the economy. The report comes after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept its federal-funds-rate target locked at 4¼ %–4½ % for a sixth straight meeting […]

It’s Silver’s Turn: Delivery Demand on the Comex Continues Higher

The CME Comex is the Exchange where futures are traded for gold, silver, and other commodities. The CME also allows futures buyers to turn their contracts into physical metal through delivery. You can find more detail on the CME here (e.g., vault types, major/minor months, delivery explanation, historical data, etc.).

The Technicals: Gold Bull Market Still Looks Very Strong

This analysis attempts to look at different metrics to understand the current momentum in the gold and silver markets. It is meant as an analysis on potential price direction in the very short-term (a few weeks to 1-2 months).

BoE Freezes Rates at 4.25% While CPI Re-Accelerates

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) kept its main Bank Rate steady at 4.25 percent yesterday, resisting a growing chorus for relief even as inflation flared again and growth sputtered. Minutes published Thursday reveal a 6–3 split—the most dissent since 2020—with Swati Dhingra, Dave Ramsden, and newcomer Alan Taylor pushing for a 25-basis-point […]

The WWIII Trade

As war rages on in Iran and Israel, equities are down overall while defense stocks are surging, and both gold and silver have bounced, followed by volatile corrections. You could take a lot of guesses about how to trade the war and chaos—but the surest chaos bet will always be precious metals, especially in the […]

The Market’s Safety Net: How Underwriters Laboratories Keeps Us Safe

Free-marketers rightly argue that the market is capable of providing many services that the government currently controls, from the choice and use of money to contract enforcement. There are even private means of regulating business, and as it turns out, we already benefit from them.