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Exploring Finance

POSTED ON September 9, 2021  - POSTED IN Exploring Finance

The Treasury bumped up against the debt ceiling at the end of July. Since then, it has been using “extraordinary measures” to allow the Government to keep hemorrhaging cash without having to increase the debt ceiling.

The chart below shows the month-over-month change in debt for August equal to $0. Despite zero net change, there are two important facts to highlight.

  • The Treasury continued converting short term debt to long term
  • Nonmarketable debt holdings shrunk by $257B
POSTED ON September 3, 2021  - POSTED IN Exploring Finance

The Labor Department released its August jobs report on Friday. To say the numbers were disappointing would be an understatement.

According to the report, there was an increase of only 235k jobs, well below the estimated 720k. That’s a miss of nearly 500k jobs.

POSTED ON August 25, 2021  - POSTED IN Exploring Finance

M2 Money Supply is measured by the Federal Reserve to calculate the amount of money in the financial system. Historically, the term inflation was defined as an expansion of the money supply that generally led to higher prices. Therefore increases in M2 is the measure of inflation. This analysis reviews the changes in money supply as a potential indication of future price increases.

POSTED ON August 22, 2021  - POSTED IN Exploring Finance

The price of gold and silver can be driven by many variables both technical and fundamental. Fundamental drivers include Fed meetings/speeches, its balance sheetinflation datajobs numbers, market risk appetite, etc.

This analysis examines some of the more technical factors driving prices (e.g. Comex OI, Miners price action, technical price action). The CFCT Cots report can show investor positioning but is covered in another analysis.

POSTED ON August 18, 2021  - POSTED IN Exploring Finance

This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange. See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. The charts and tables below specifically analyze the physical stock data at the Comex. This is different than the delivery countdown that looks to see how many contracts will stand for delivery each month. Instead, it shows the physical movement of metal into and out of Comex vaults.

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