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Exploring Finance

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November 21, 2022Exploring Finance

The Technical Picture: Can the Metals Hold Support?

The price analysis last month suggested that more time was needed for a sustainable rally. It concluded: It looks like this market will turn sooner or later. Still, though, support has become resistance so the market has some work ahead of itself. Medium to long-term investors should feel very confident buying at current prices, even if […]

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November 20, 2022Exploring Finance

Comex Vaults See Seventh Straight Month of Outflows

Gold and silver continue to flow out of the COMEX vaults. This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange. See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. The charts and tables below specifically analyze the physical stock/inventory data at the Comex to show the physical movement of metal into and out […]

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November 10, 2022Exploring Finance

CPI: Annualized Pace of Increase Still Over 5%

The perception is that CPI cooled significantly in October, but the data doesn’t quite bear this out. The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for September came in at 0.44%. The YoY rate was 7.7%, or 7.8% when adjusting for Household Ops. which has not been consistently reported over the last year. The increase was actually […]

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November 4, 2022Exploring Finance

Jobs Report: Only Education and Government are Above Trend

Despite the better-than-expected headline number, the job market continues to slow. According to the BLS, the economy added 261k jobs in October with a big upward revision in September from 263k to 315k. October was a beat against median expectations of 205k. The employment rate (black line) increased from 3.5% to 3.7% while the labor […]

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November 4, 2022Exploring Finance

Trade Deficit: The First Deficit Increase in Six Months

The September Trade Deficit increased for the first time in 6 months to -$73.3B. The deficit had been getting help from exports out of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. As shown by the chart below, the increase this month was from a drop in Exports combined with an increase in Imports. The current value is still […]

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October 31, 2022Exploring Finance

Will Managed Money Get Stuck Holding the Short Straw?

Managed money has controlled the gold and silver market over the last several months. But there are other dynamics going on unnoticed under the surface. Please note: the CoTs report was published 10/28/2022 for the period ending 10/25/2022. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably.

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