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Original Analysis

POSTED ON July 19, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Four months after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the financial crisis sparked by Federal Reserve rate hikes continues to simmer under the surface.

As of the end of the first quarter, Bank of America had over $100 billion in unrealized losses on its bond portfolio. This is the exact problem that torpedoed Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).

POSTED ON July 10, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Most people believe members of the Federal Reserve are highly trained experts who are imminently qualified to run monetary policy.  Guided by this perception, the mainstream treats Fed pronouncements as gospel. But if you compare Fed projections to actual outcomes, it looks like they’re just guessing. In fact, you would probably get more accurate results throwing darts at a dartboard.

POSTED ON July 4, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Today we celebrate insurrection.

No. I don’t mean the fake Jan. 6, 2021, “insurrection.” I’m talking about the bonafide insurrection staged by American colonists against the British government.

We call July 4 “Independence Day.” But the British called it an act of rebellion.

POSTED ON July 3, 2023  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

A note recently published by two Federal Reserve economists reveals a looming catastrophe.

The Fed’s interest rate hikes have already precipitated a financial crisis. The central bank managed to paper over that problem and get it out of the headlines with a bailout program. But it didn’t solve the problems. Banks continue to tap into the bailout loans as they struggle in this high-interest-rate environment.

And there are even bigger problems on the horizon.

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