Peter's Blog

Fed Keeps Its Finger on the Pause Button

Chalk one up for the status quo. As expected, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady in a range between 5.25 and 5.5% for the second straight FOMV meeting, and chairman Jerome Powell was intentionally noncommital about future Fed moves.

Constructive and Destructive Roles of Credit

This article defines credit, a subject upon which there is a lack of public knowledge. What people call money is in fact credit, and money itself, which is physical gold without counterparty risk, rarely if ever circulates. Nearly everyone, including most economists, fails to understand credit and the importance of its value being tied to […]

Why Was There No Inflation After All the Great Recession Stimulus? (Hint, There Was)

There is a persistent myth that inflation was “low” in the decade following the 2008 financial crisis. It’s time to bust that myth.

Hotter Than Expected CPI – A Recurring Theme

“Hotter than expected.” This seems to be a recurring theme when it comes to price inflation. The September CPI data gave us another variation on that tune. And it should once again remind us that the Federal Reserve is nowhere near its 2% target.

Don’t Rely on GDP

An important error in statistical analysis is that mathematical economists have lost sight of what their beloved statistics represent —none more so than with GDP. In this analysis, I explain why GDP is simply the total of accumulating currency and credit which is wrongly taken to reflect economic progress — there being no such thing […]

Unwinding the Financial System

This article looks at the collateral side of financial transactions and some significant problems that are already emerging. At a time when there is a veritable tsunami of dollar credit in foreign hands overhanging markets, it is obvious that continually falling bond prices will ensure bear markets in all financial asset values leading to dollar […]

Could They Have Been More Wrong About Inflation in 2020?

I recently ran across a video produced by CNBC back in July 2020. It is titled “Why Printing Trillions of Dollars May Not Cause Inflation.” That aged poorly, didn’t it? And people wonder why I keep saying you should be skeptical of mainstream narratives.

Fed’s Favorite Inflation Measure Revised Higher

Price inflation has been even worse than advertised. Of course, you know that because you’ve lived it. But it is nice when the data crunchers swerve a little closer to reality. The Bureau of Economic Analysis did just that, revising its Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data higher for the entirety of this inflation cycle.

Bond Crisis

As the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note soared, gold and silver came under selling pressure this week. But ahead of the weekend, bear closing in precious metals is evident. In European trade this morning, silver rallied to $23.00, down a net 55 cents from last Friday’s close. And gold traded at $1871, down […]

The End of the Road for the Dollar

With the Asian hegemons undoubtedly able to introduce gold standards, where does that leave the dollar? This article describes just how precarious the fiat dollar’s position has become.