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September 7, 2023Original Analysis

Say’s Law Says It All

As the world descends into a much-heralded recession, the surprise will be that interest rates will continue to rise as economic activity contracts. This is not what the economic establishment expects. This article puts the outlook in the context of classical economic theory, when it was the principles behind the division of labour which went […]

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August 31, 2023Original Analysis

A Brief History of the Gold Standard

As evidence mounts that the major Western economies are heading into a banking and monetary crisis due to contracting credit, we face the consequences of unsound money. The era of fiat is drawing to a close and its death will be painful for the highly indebted advanced economies in North America, Europe, and Japan. History […]

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August 21, 2023Original Analysis

Americans Have Nearly Depleted Their Excess Savings

One of the reasons Americans were able to continue spending even as price inflation raged was they saved a lot of money during the pandemic lockdowns. But those savings are nearly depleted, according to a study released by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Aggregate savings peaked at $2.1 trillion in August 2021. As […]

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August 17, 2023Original Analysis

The Global Bank Credit Crisis

Globally, further falls in consumer price inflation are now unlikely and there are yet further interest rate increases to come. Bond yields are already on the rise, and a new phase of a banking crisis will be triggered. This article looks at the factors that have come together to drive interest rates higher, destabilising the […]

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August 15, 2023Original Analysis

Silver Price Inexcusably Low Given the Market Dynamics

Silver is significantly undervalued right now. One analyst called the current price in the $22 an ounce range “inexcusably low.” But many analysts are bullish on silver in the medium term with projections of prices climbing to $50 to $100 an ounce over the next two to five years. The question is when will we […]

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