We have a trade deal!
Or do we?
We still don’t have all of the details of the so-called phase 1 deal. From what we know, it appears to be rather limited in scope. The US offered to suspend some tariffs on Chinese goods and cut others up to 50% in exchange for Beijing buying more American farm goods and opening up to US financial firms.
During a recent podcast, Peter Schiff said one thing we know for sure: this isn’t the resolution to the trade war. He called it more of a “truce.”
The Federal Reserve came through with its first interest rate cut in more than a decade this week. But with Jerome Powell trying desperately to convince everybody that this wasn’t the beginning of a long cutting cycle, the stock markets weren’t pleased. And neither was President Trump. So, he decided to put his own fingerprint on the markets, announcing new tariffs on Chinese products. In this week’s Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey breaks it all down and explains how it impacted the gold market.
There are two major factors driving markets right now – fears that tariffs are going to push the global economy into recession and hope that the Federal Reserve and other central banks will rescue it. What are the markets getting right? And what are they getting wrong? Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey talks about it.
President Trump launched Tariff War 2.0 yesterday. And we haven’t even wrapped up Trade War 1 yet.
The president shocked markets when he announced a 5% tariff on all Mexican products in an effort to force Mexico to do more to stop the flow of illegal immigration into the US. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey gives you the details and talks about the impact of these new tariffs on the markets. He also discusses what the bond market is telling us about a looming recession, some interesting news out of Russia, and the latest goings-on in the silver market.
There is plenty of debate about tariffs right now. A lot of people oppose them because they support free trade. A lot of people support them because they believe they protect US industry. Others think tariffs are a great tool to force other countries – specifically China – to engage in fair trade. In today’s Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey argues that no matter what you think about tariff policy, you should pause and count the cost because tariffs are taking money out of your wallet. Mike also talks about the possibility of China using its “nuclear option” in the trade war and gives an overview of the news that drove the precious metals markets this week.
General George Custer met his doom charging into a battle he thought he could win, against an opponent he did not understand. Based on his views about the fast-emerging trade war with China, it looks to me that Donald Trump, another blonde with a very high opinion of himself, is charging into an economic version of the Little Bighorn.
By mistaking the real nature of international trade, the costs of tariffs, the effects of currency movements, and the supposed ease with which the United States could quickly re-establish itself as a low-cost manufacturer, Trump risks shredding the safety nets that have undergirded the US economy for decades and plunging us into a war we are ill-equipped to fight.
Monday was another rough day on Wall Street as the ongoing trade war weighed on stocks. The Dow dropped 617 points and closed below Friday’s low. The NASDAQ was down 3.4% on the day. The Russell 2000 was also off by more than 3%.
In his podcast Monday evening, Peter Schiff said he thinks the bear market rally is over.
Long live the bear market. This bear market rally is dead. We are going a lot lower.”
Trump has leveled a lot of criticism at the Federal Reserve over that last several months. This has led some people to proclaim that the president is an enemy of the Fed. But as Mike Maharrey explains in this week’s Friday Gold Wrap podcast, Trump is no Ron Paul. The president’s beef with the Fed is more about policy and less about the central bank itself. And we should never forget — policy has consequences. In this episode, Mike gives a simple overview of how the Fed creates boom-bust cycles and why Trump needs more boom. He also covers the latest on the trade war and what’s going on in the gold market.
There has been significant volatility in US stock markets so far this week. The Dow was down over 470 points Monday morning. Dip-buyers saved the day and the Dow ended up only down 66 points. But then the bottom fell out on Tuesday, with the Dow plunging 473 points.
Tweets by President Trump threatening more tariffs and raising questions about whether China and the US can work out a trade deal sparked this market volatility and the ensuing sell-off.
In his latest podcast, Peter Schiff raises an interesting question: was this by design?
As the stock market was tanking last month, Peter Schiff said a recession is obviously coming. Now things have calmed down a little bit and everybody seems convinced October was just a bad month — a needed correction. But as Peter has been saying, there are some fundamentals everybody is ignoring that look really bad. The housing market, in particular, is showing signs of trouble. In fact, we don’t have a booming economy; we have a bubble.
In an article published on Seeking Alpha, Mad Genious Economics provides an in-depth breakdown of an economy rolling over, focusing specifically on housing and auto markets, the trade war and banking.