In a recent interview with Forbes, economic commentator and historian Jim Grant warned that we haven’t fully felt the inevitable fallout from the “free money era.”
I think that the consequences of more or less 10 years of proverbially free money are going to play out in the credit markets.”
It’s not a good idea to argue about things you don’t know anything about. Most people realize this — until it comes to economics. A lot of people argue economics from a position of ignorance. President Biden is one of those people. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey dissects a couple of comments Biden made last week and teaches some economics along the way. He also talks about the significance of gold’s record-breaking week.
October CPI coming in cooler than expected ramped up expectations that the Federal Reserve is at the end of its inflation fight. In fact, many analysts now expect the Fed to begin cutting interest rates in 2024.
Looking at the bigger picture, inflation’s apparent retreat boosted mainstream belief that the economy will glide to a “soft landing.” With a lot of economic data weakening, the markets anticipate that the Fed will proactively cut rates to preempt a recession and prevent a crash landing. The thinking is as soon as it sees the economy coming in for a landing, it’s going to cut rates to ensure that landing is soft.
Deutsche Bank economists say the Federal Reserve will create more inflation in 2024.
OK, that’s not exactly what they said. But that is the implication of their latest forecast.
The latest buzzword in the mainstream financial media is “soft landing.” Everybody seems convinced the Fed has beaten inflation, and that it has completely avoided pushing the economy into a recession. According to the mainstream narrative, we may see a bit of an economic slowdown in the months ahead, but a recession is pretty much off the table. In his podcast, Peter Schiff explains why a soft landing is impossible.
Everybody seems convinced that the Federal Reserve has won the inflation fight, there will be no more interest rate hikes, and rate cuts are right around the corner. But as Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey reminds us, it’s not over until the fat lady sings. And she hasn’t sung a note. In this episode, he breaks down the latest CPI data and explains why the victory dance might be premature.
The October CPI came in lower than expected, sparking a rally in stocks, bonds, and gold. Cooling prices reinforced the belief that the Federal Reserve won the inflation fight and the rate hiking cycle is over. In his podcast, Peter Schiff explained why the demise of inflation is greatly exaggerated.
For the first time in several months, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in cooler than expected in October, supercharging expectations that the Federal Reserve can relent on its inflation fight.
But is the optimism premature?
Optimism is driving the markets. Most investors seem to believe the economy is strong. The consumer is resilient. Price inflation is easing. And most people think the Federal Reserve is finished hiking rates. In his podcast, Peter Schiff explained why this investor optimism is at odds with reality.
