The collapse of Chinese real estate giant Evergrande is being called, by some, China’s “Lehman Moment.” Whether or not it will be enough to trigger a cratering of China’s broader economy, it’s a massive reality check for a country that has transformed itself over the decades with unprecedentedly massive urbanization and economic growth. Evergrande, since its creation in 1996, has been at the forefront of that rise.
Chinese investors are turning to gold.
China Daily called the demand for gold “robust” through the first three quarters of 2023 and said it is expected to continue “as economic and geopolitical uncertainties may drive up investors’ purchases of safe-haven assets.”
Chinese gold demand was up 7.3% year on year through the first nine months of 2023.
China ranks as the world’s biggest gold market, and Chinese demand has a significant impact on the global gold market.
Are the Chinese selling US dollar-denominated assets to buy gold?
It sure looks that way.
Gold and silver drifted lower this week before a modest recovery Friday morning, which can be put down to bear closing. Meanwhile, gold hit record levels in yuan and yen terms.
Here’s a breakdown of this week’s gold and silver markets.
Russia and the Saudis are driving up oil and diesel prices. But these moves are likely to undermine the rouble more than they undermine the dollar, euro, and other major currencies. Therefore, higher energy prices will rebound on the Russians this winter: if they shiver in Germany, they will freeze in Russia. If the dollar is king of the fiats, the rouble is just a lowly serf.
There is little doubt that Putin and his advisers are aware of this problem. Plan A was to introduce a new gold-backed BRICS currency which might be expected to weaken the dollar and euro relative to the rouble. Plan B was more drastic: to back the rouble itself with gold. This is the financial equivalent of dropping a hydrogen bomb on the dollar and the global fiat currency system upon which it is based.
Chinese gold demand improved on multiple fronts in August.
China ranks as the world’s biggest gold market.
Peter Schiff recently appeared on the Capitol Report on NTD News to talk about the state of the US economy. He explained how government spending has created the price inflation Americans continue to struggle with, and how it has bankrupted the United States.
After hitting the highest level since 2019 in the first quarter, Chinese gold demand continued on a solid path through Q2.
Through the first half of the year, Chinese gold consumption surged by 16%, according to the latest data from the China Gold Association (CGA).
Silver demand set a record in every category in 2022 and is expected to continue growing. Meanwhile, silver production flatlined. Record global silver demand and a lack of supply upside contributed to a 237.7 million ounce market deficit in 2022.
The trends indicate that this deficit will expand in the next several years as demand continues to surge as supply begins to shrink, and there are some concerning trends indicating supply may contract rapidly in the coming years.
