Contact us
CALL US NOW 1-888-GOLD-160
(1-888-465-3160)

Gold and Rising Interest Rates: Selling the Rumor, Buying the Fact

  by    0   0

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to nudge interest rates up again this week. Most analysts agree that the specter of a rate hike is one of the primary reasons gold has slumped over the last several weeks. But are rising interests rates really bad for gold?

The short answer is no. At least not historically

Conventional wisdom holds that tighter monetary policy tends to increase bond yields and boost earnings. That makes and bonds more appealing to investors, theoretically lowering the appeal of gold and silver. So, when the Fed starts talking rake hikes, the air generally comes out of the precious metals markets.

But consider this: the Fed started raising interest rates two years ago. With the rate a full 100 basis points higher than it was in December 2015, gold is trading at nearly $200 per ounce higher than it was then. That’s more than a 15% increase.

As a recent Bloomberg article pointed out, when it comes to rate hikes and gold, the reality tends to be sell the rumor, buy the fact.

Chart gold against US 10-year Treasury yields and it looks distinctly like the metal tends to sell the rumor of rate rises, and buy the fact. Every time yields have peaked north of 2.5% over the past five years, gold has promptly rallied. Economists predict that yield barrier should be broken sometime in the first quarter of 2018.”

Last summer, Peter Schiff explained why the current rising rate environment is good for gold despite the conventional wisdom.

Central banks use two primary rationales to justify rate hikes – strong economic growth and a healthy inflation rate. As Peter explained, inflation is key when it comes to gold.

Rising interest rates are not negative for gold. I mean, the main reason that interest rates are rising around the world is because inflation is picking up around the world. Higher inflation is positive for gold. I mean, it is the most bullish thing for gold. And in fact, when inflation rates are rising, that means money is buying less, right? The purchasing power of money is going down. And that’s when you want to own gold.”

And while higher rates do boost bond yields, inflation is not a friend of the bond market. Bonds lose value as inflation increases. That is bullish for gold because gold is something you would own as an alternative to bonds.

A bear market in bonds is bullish for gold. But for some reason everybody just thinks, well, if interest rates are going up, that just makes gold less attractive because you’re giving up the opportunity cost. It makes bonds less attractive, because bonds are falling in value. It makes currency less attractive because interest rates are rising because currency is losing value. But gold won’t be losing value. Gold is going to be storing value.”

Right now, most investors are ignoring the yellow metal, but this might actually be an opportune time to buy gold. As we said last week, with the price relatively low right now, gold may well be giving you an early Christmas present.

WhyBuyGoldNowBanner.070815.590

Get Peter Schiff’s most important Gold headlines once per week – click here – for a free subscription to his exclusive weekly email updates.
Interested in learning how to buy gold and buy silver?
Call 1-888-GOLD-160 and speak with a Precious Metals Specialist today!


Related Posts

The Outlook for Gold in 2020 Remains Bullish

Gold had a strong year in 2019 and a World Gold Council report says the outlook for 2020 remains bullish. We expect that many of the global dynamics seeded over the past few years will remain generally supportive for gold in 2020.” Gold charted its best year since 2010 last year. The price increased by […]

READ MORE →

Spending Us Into Oblivion: Federal Budget Deficit Tops $1 Trillion in 2019 Calendar Year

The US federal government ran a budget deficit of over $1 trillion in the 2019 calendar year. It was the first budget deficit over $1 trillion in any calendar year since 2012 — in the midst of the Great Recession. The budget shortfall from January through December totaled $1.02 trillion, according to the latest report issued […]

READ MORE →

Holdings in Gold-Backed ETFs Grew 14% in 2019, Hit All-Time Highs

Net inflows of gold into gold-backed ETFs came in at 400.3 tons in 2019, according to data released by the World Gold Council. ETF gold holdings grew by 14% last year and finished at 2881.2 tons. Overall, global gold-backed assets under management grew by 37% in US dollars due to positive demand and an 18% […]

READ MORE →

Central Banks Continue “Remarkable” Gold-Buying Spree

Central banks continued their remarkable gold-buying spree in November and remain on pace to eclipse 2018’s near-record purchases. According to the latest numbers from the World Gold Council, central banks added 27.9 tons on a net-basis to official gold reserves in November. That brings the yearly total for 2018 with one month left to calculate […]

READ MORE →

A Shocking Numbers of Americans Live Paycheck to Paycheck

We’re told that this is the greatest economy in history. Stock markets are surging. Unemployment is low. And yet despite the good times, a shocking number of Americans live paycheck to paycheck. Several surveys cited by MarketWatch reveal the precarious financial situation many Americans find themselves in. This is less than ideal in an economy […]

READ MORE →

Comments are closed.

Call Now