The Dow Jones just had its best June since 1938. Overall, stocks were up around 7% last month. It was also the best first half for stocks in 22 years.
Meanwhile, gold gained about 8% on the month. As Peter pointed out in his latest podcast, while stocks had significant gains in dollar terms, they actually lost value in terms of real money.
And as Peter also pointed out, when you look at the recent stock market gains, you have to put them into context.
It looks they’ve run out of patience at the Eccles Building.
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee wrapped up its June meeting yesterday leaving interest rates unchanged. But the talk coming from the central bankers was decidedly dovish. Patience was not in the Fed’s vocabulary. Instead, Powell and company talked about “uncertainty” and said they would “act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.”
As Peter Schiff said in his podcast, the table is now set for a rate cut in July.
During a recent interview, President Donald Trump lamented the fact that we don’t have a bigger bubble and blamed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump said that even though Powell was his pick, he “disagrees with him entirely.” He said that if it weren’t for the Fed, we’d have even stronger GDP growth.
Frankly, if we had a different person in the Federal Reserve that wouldn’t have raised interest rates so much, we would have been at least a point and a half higher. I’m not happy with what he’s done.”
As Peter Schiff pointed out in his podcast, this is the exact opposite of Trump’s position when he was campaigning. Now that he’s in the White House, Trump has turned into a Keynesian on steroids.
Last week was a good one for the stock market. Peter Schiff raised an important question in his latest podcast: why?
Answer: it’s all about the Fed.
Everybody is giddy because they think the central bank is going to save the day once again. In this podcast, Peter explains why they are wrong.
Bond prices have spiked and yields have fallen in the last several weeks. Investors are beginning to see a recession on the horizon and they are pouring into Treasurys believing they will provide a safe haven. In his most recent podcast, Peter said bond buyers are right about the looming recession, but they are making the wrong bet.
Consumer confidence was much stronger than expected in the latest report that came out Friday. Consumer sentiment jumped to 102.4, well above the 97.5 that was forecast. This was a 15-year high in this University of Michigan index.
In his podcast Friday, Peter Schiff said he thinks the reason consumers are so optimistic is the constant positive rhetoric they are bombarded with. They are constantly told that the economy is booming. But in reality, they are falling for a big con-job.
Monday was another rough day on Wall Street as the ongoing trade war weighed on stocks. The Dow dropped 617 points and closed below Friday’s low. The NASDAQ was down 3.4% on the day. The Russell 2000 was also off by more than 3%.
In his podcast Monday evening, Peter Schiff said he thinks the bear market rally is over.
Long live the bear market. This bear market rally is dead. We are going a lot lower.”
Uber launched its IPO on Friday. It was less than ideal.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is talking about how it wants to tweak its quantitative easing program when the next recession rolls around.
Peter Schiff talked about how these things relate — and the “writing on the wall” for the economy in his latest podcast.
There has been significant volatility in US stock markets so far this week. The Dow was down over 470 points Monday morning. Dip-buyers saved the day and the Dow ended up only down 66 points. But then the bottom fell out on Tuesday, with the Dow plunging 473 points.
Tweets by President Trump threatening more tariffs and raising questions about whether China and the US can work out a trade deal sparked this market volatility and the ensuing sell-off.
In his latest podcast, Peter Schiff raises an interesting question: was this by design?
April’s jobs report came out better than expected. According to the Labor Department, the economy added 263,000 jobs last month. That came in well above the expectation of 180,000 jobs. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.6%, the lowest level since December 1969.
But in his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff said the job headlines actually mask the real story.