On Friday, the yield curve inverted, often a warning sign of an impending recession. Many mainstream pundits say we shouldn’t be concerned about the inversion and that the US economy is still healthy. They say there are other underlying reasons for the inverted yield curve. But there are plenty of other economic data points that are flashing recession warnings. For instance, inventories are piling up in warehouses.
Wholesale inventories surged again in January, according to the latest Commerce Department data.
Peter Schiff has said a recession is a done deal. Since he made that comment, we’ve seen more and more signs of a looming economic downturn. On Friday, we got another. The yield curve inverted, historically a sign of a looming recession.
The yield on 10-year Treasurys fell below the yield on 3-year bonds for the first time since 2007 – the cusp of the Great Recession.
Not too long ago, Peter Schiff said, “The rate hikes of the past have already guaranteed that the economy is headed for recession. It doesn’t matter whether they continue to raise rates in the future. The recession is a done deal.”
In a recent interview, economist and editor of the Gloom, Boom and Doom Report, Dr. Marc Faber, expressed a similar sentiment, saying, “Forget about the coming slowdown because the economy has already been backing up for months and we’re likely already in a recession.”
Even as the Federal Reserve and the financial news network pundits continue to dangle the prospect of a booming economy in front of us, we’re seeing more and more bad news that undermines this narrative and reveals the rotting foundation of the US economy. The wholesale inventory report that came out yesterday is the latest gloomy example.
During his keynote speech at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, Peter Schiff said we are at the beginning of the end.
The Fed appears to have paused interest rate hikes in order to save the stock market. The markets have reacted positively and a lot of analysts seem to think we’re out of the wood. But Peter traces the moves of the Federal Reserve all the way back to the first rate hike of December 2015 and shows how the central bank has put us on a path toward a financial crisis that will be bigger than 2008. Peter insists he’s been right about what would happen all along, it’s just taken us a little longer to get here than he expected.
Tocqueville Management Corp. chairman John Hathaway says the growing US government debt to GDP ratio poses “the most viable threat” to the US economy.
In his fourth-quarter investment letter, Hathaway said the ballooning US debt, coupled with a bear market and a recession, will likely weaken the dollar and send gold much higher in the near future.
Wall Street has been on a roller coaster ride over the last few months. If you listen to the pundits on the financial networks, you’ll hear the word “volatile” used over and over again. That word certainly seems to describe the current state of US stock markets and in a broader sense the economy. But during a recent interview on RT News with Rick Sanchez, Peter Schiff said it’s not that the economy is volatile. It’s actually a bubble. And we are on the verge of a bigger crisis than the one we went through in 2008.
There was no Santa Clause rally on Christmas Eve. Instead, US stock markets continued to tank. The Dow Jones dropped 653 points. The S&P 500 fell another 2.7% and officially entered into bear territory. It was the worst Christmas Eve’s on Wall Street in history. The Washington Post put it in stark terms.
By the end of Monday’s shortened holiday trading session, the great bull market that began in the lows of March 2009 lay lifeless, capping a three-week, 16 percent sell-off of the S&P 500.”
As Peter Schiff put it, “The Grinch stole the Santa Clause rally.”
The mainstream is starting to get a little bit nervous. As we reported yesterday, a CNBC interview with DoubleLine Capital founder Jeffrey Gundlach got the mainstream talking about the possibility of a bear market. There is also increasing concern about a looming recession. In a recent New York Times survey, almost half of the 134 CEOs polled said they thought the country could be in a recession by the end of the year.
Peter Schiff has been warning about a recession for months. In October, he said the recession that’s coming is going to be brutal. On Monday, Peter appeared on Fox Business with Lisa Kennedy to talk about the coming crisis and its political ramifications.
This is shaping up to be a December to remember.
Wall Street is on pace for its worst December since 1980.