Could we be heading toward $5,000 gold?
Last week, there was a big sell-off in the bond market. Yields on the 10-year Treasury soared 11 basis points in one day. Global stock markets sold off the following morning and US stock markets followed suit. This week, things really got really ugly on Wall Street. The Dow dropped over 1,300 points in two days. In a video for SchiffGold, Peter Schiff said stock market investors “finally took notice of the carnage that was going on in the bond market.”
On Thursday, the price of gold popped, rising nearly 3%. But despite all of the action this week, most people in the mainstream remain complacent. The narrative is that this is a normal bull market correction. Peter said nothing could be further from the truth.
The economy is even a bigger bubble than the stock market.”
Peter Schiff talked politics in his latest podcast and raised a sobering question: Could the US be on the path toward a socialist administration?
Peter noted that we are long overdue for a recession. There are plenty of signs a major economic downturn could be lurking right around the corner, including stock market weakness. And as we reported today, US Treasury yield curves are flattening. The average global yield curve has inverted. Inverting yield curves are a strong predictor of recession.
This is bad news for President Trump, who has taken credit for the “great” economy and strong stock market. Peter said the president has set himself up as the fall-guy when the crash happens. Meanwhile, the Democratic Party is drifting further left.
A lot of seemingly positive economic data came out last week, but in his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff said it is just feeding into a delusional economic narrative that ignores the most fundamental storyline – debt. Everybody is talking about a new era of prosperity, but Peter said it’s a phony prosperity and it isn’t going to last.
Not everybody in the mainstream is bullish on the dollar and expecting rate hikes as far as the eye can see. In fact, the global head of commodities at TD securities sounds a little like Peter Schiff.
In his podcast last week, Peter said that the recent dollar strength is nothing more than upside correction in the midst of a bear market, emphasizing that the primary trend is down. He also said he thinks the Fed may be near the end of its hiking cycle.
In his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff hit a number of subjects including oil prices, bond prices, Bitcoin, the dollar and tariffs. Peter said he thinks we’re seeing a lot of movement in a number of markets that are counter to the long-term trends. For instance, oil dropped late last week, but he expects it’s long-term trend to continue upward. The dollar has picked up strength, but the broader trend is toward a weaker dollar. And bond yields fell, but the overall trajectory for interest rates is up.
Last week, Peter Schiff said we may well be in the calm before the economic storm. In his latest podcast, he said the storm may be on the horizon. But most people are still oblivious, including the Federal Reserve.
In his latest podcast, Peter Schiff said we are basically enjoying the calm before the storm right now.
With the US missile strike in Syria, rumblings of a trade war and a generally weak dollar, gold briefly flirted with $1,365 last week. But the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate hikes continues to create strong headwinds against the yellow metal. Last week, the Fed released its March FOMC minutes and most analysts interpreted them as “hawkish.” In fact, many people now think the Fed will nudge rates up again in June, leaving six months to get in the much-anticipated third hike of the year and possibly even get in a fourth.
After rallying on Friday, stocks tanked on Monday, dropping over 450 points. In fact, it was the worst first day of the second quarter since the Great Depression.
Most analysts blamed the plunge on the escalating trade war, but Peter Schiff has a different take. He said it was just another bad day in a bear market. In fact, he said the market could have rallied because the Chinese response wasn’t as bad as it could have been. But when you’re in a bear market, all news is bad news.
Last Thursday, the Dow Jones fell 724 points. It followed up with a 424 point decline on Friday. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq fell 2.43% Friday.
Most analysts blamed the plunge on fear of an all-out trade war between the US and China. But the Federal Reserve rate hike on Wednesday also likely played a part in the stock market decline. The markets don’t like the prospect of having their easy-money punch bowl taken away.
So, could we be on the verge of a gold breakout as stocks break down?
There have been numerous comparisons between Bitcoin and gold. In fact, a lot of people call Bitcoin, and cryptocurrencies in general, “digital gold.” But are the two things really comparable? How is gold different from crypto? What are the advantages and disadvantages of both?
Peter Schiff was a guest with Nicholas Merten of DataDash and they explored these issues in an in-depth interview. DataDash is a well-known platform for all things related to cryptocurrencies, data analytics & science. Merten is an excellent interviewer and ads his breadth and knowledge of the world of cryptocurrencies to the discussion. They not only talk about cryptocurrencies, they also get into economics, the stock market, Fed policy and more.
The friendly interview features a lot of give-and-take between Peter and Nicholas and will leave you with plenty to chew on and mull over.
