The US federal government ran a budget deficit of over $1 trillion in the 2019 calendar year. It was the first budget deficit over $1 trillion in any calendar year since 2012 — in the midst of the Great Recession.
The budget shortfall from January through December totaled $1.02 trillion, according to the latest report issued by the Treasury Department. That continued a rapidly accelerating upward trajectory. The 2019 budget gap was 17.1% bigger than the 2018 deficit, which was a 28.2% increase over 2017.
The war drums have quieted for the time being. But while the threat of a hot war seems to have diminished, economic warfare continues. President Trump announced another round of economic sanctions on Iran.
We have written extensively how about how the US weaponizes the dollar and uses it as a foreign policy tool. This is one of the reasons many central banks are buying gold. The flip side of that equation is also true. The US government uses the military to support the dollar – specifically by controlling oil resources.
A week ago, nearly $100 billion in short-term liquidity was added via the Federal Reserve Bank of New York offering cash in the repo market.
As a reminder, the repo market is the overnight market of repurchase agreements. This is where one sells an asset with an agreement to purchase it back at a slightly higher price the next day. In other words, very short term collateralized lending.
In his latest podcast, Peter talks about sudden silencing of the war drums, the risk that remains in the markets, the stealth bull market in gold, the risk of a socialist president, rampant economic illiteracy, inflation and more.
As Peter put it – what a difference 48 hours makes.
Is now the time to get into gold? Peter Schiff appeared on Fox Business last week to talk about it with Charles Payne.
Peter said the current bull run in gold started about four years ago when the Federal Reserve started raising interest rates in 2015. Over the past four years, the price of physical gold has risen by about 50% and gold stocks have doubled that. In fact, the return on gold stocks has been about 50% better than the S&P500 as a whole over that time.
Have you ever had one of those experiences where you knew something was too good to be true, but you were still disappointed when you found out it really was too good to be true?
The sound of war drums dominated this week. After Iran launched missiles at US bases in Iraq in retaliation for an airstrike that killed an Iranian general, gold spiked to over $1,600 an ounce — an eight-year high. But tensions seem to have eased and the price of gold with it, as the war drums have quieted. So, what did we learn from this and what’s next for the gold market? Host Mike Maharrey talks about it in this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast.
Net inflows of gold into gold-backed ETFs came in at 400.3 tons in 2019, according to data released by the World Gold Council. ETF gold holdings grew by 14% last year and finished at 2881.2 tons.
Overall, global gold-backed assets under management grew by 37% in US dollars due to positive demand and an 18% increase in the price of gold.
ETF gold-holdings reached a record 2,900 tons in the fourth quarter. The previous record for ETF gold holdings was set back in 2012 when the price of gold was near $1,700 per ounce.
Central banks continued their remarkable gold-buying spree in November and remain on pace to eclipse 2018’s near-record purchases.
According to the latest numbers from the World Gold Council, central banks added 27.9 tons on a net-basis to official gold reserves in November. That brings the yearly total for 2018 with one month left to calculate to 570.2 tons, 11% higher than the same period in the previous year.
Gold has been surging since a US airstrike killed a prominent Iranian general. After Iran retaliated with missile strikes on US bases in Iraq, gold briefly pushed about $1,600 per ounce — an eight-year high.
Peter Schiff appeared on RT Boom Bust along with Bubba Horwitz on Monday to talk about the current geopolitical situation and its potential impact on the economy. He said tensions in the Middle East are increasing the risk premium, but there is a more fundamental reason gold is going up — Federal Reserve monetary policy. He also noted that the risks to the US aren’t so much military as economic. The US depends on foreigners buying dollars. Peter emphasized that gold is the best hedge in the current climate.