By Dickson Buchanan Jr., Director of International Development
Last week, on July 30, the Republic of Argentina was declared to be in default for the third time in 30 years.
Let’s put that into perspective. If you were a bank officer who offered a 30-year mortgage to the Government of Argentina in the early ‘90s you would have spent nearly the entire life of the loan in a perpetual nightmare of refinancing. You would likely be not only fired from your job, but a pariah in the entire industry. This is what Argentina’s international creditors and domestic citizens have faced in real life. At the time of writing this article, S&P has downgraded Argentina to CCC-, one of the lowest ratings available for sovereign governments.
According to a new report released by the Silver Institute, the demand for silver is expected to exceed projected global GDP growth. Silver demand should grow by 5% per year from 2014 to 2016. Demand for industrial silver, which accounts for over 50% of global demand, will rise due to its use in three key areas: flexible electronics displays, LEDs, and semiconductor computer chips.
With the introduction of these advanced uses of silver in the electrical and electronics category, which last year provided over 40% of total silver industrial demand, along with growth in established uses, we should see silver industrial demand develop even further, especially as economies grow globally.” – Michael DiRienzo, Executive Director of the Silver Institute.
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Peter Schiff interviews Chris Rossini, contributor to the Ron Paul Institute for Peace and Prosperity, about his book Set Money Free. They talk about the Federal Reserve’s role in centrally planning the economy and how it funds the biggest welfare-warfare state in history. Peter says that price inflation is much higher than the official estimates. However, the Fed has put itself into a position where it will be impossible to do anything about it, even when it becomes undeniable to those in power.
The only way they can save [the dollar] is to bankrupt the federal government. But somehow I have a hard time believing that the treasury defaulting on its debts is going to be a bullish situation for the world’s reserve currency. So, I think they’re damned if they do, damned if they don’t.”
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Peter was interviewed by Chris Waltzek on GoldSeek Radio. They discussed the fact that gold is up 8% on the year and has done better than the stock market, and yet the so-called experts continue to say that it has had a “tough year.” Peter explained that the conditions needed for gold to break former highs over the coming years are exactly the artificially low interest rates and inflationary policies of the Federal Reserve and other worldwide central banks. Peter also spoke about how Janet Yellen is betting her positive economic forecast on the wealth effect associated with a rising real estate market, but he believes that the housing rally is over.
Everybody was expecting the stock market to be up this year. In fact, it’s up less than all the experts thought it would be, whereas those same experts expected gold to be way down on the year. Instead, it’s doing better than the stock market. And they don’t even acknowledge how wrong they were. They still pretend that they were right.”
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In his latest video blog post, Peter Schiff picks apart the last week’s US economic data, from the GDP to jobs numbers to the housing market to the performance of the Dow Jones. After explaining the endgame for the US dollar given our current economy, he lays out why the gold market is more resilient than the financial media is reporting.
Janet Yellen is not going to wage war against inflation. She’s already surrendered to inflation… She is going to allow inflation to not only continue, but accelerate. And that is what’s good for gold. Interestingly, while the gold market sold-off on the bad economic data on Thursday, it recouped all of those gains on Friday. Not so for the stock market. The stock market went down a lot and then went down even more.”
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Peter Schiff appeared on CNBC’s Futures Now this week to share his expectations for the price of gold following the Federal Reserve’s policy statement. Peter also predicted the higher Q2 GDP number and explained why he thinks the US dollar isn’t nearly as healthy as everyone thinks. Finally, Peter emphasized that gold has had bad press in 2014, even though it has out-performed the stock market with an 8% rise in the first six months of the year.
Gold has gone up every year but one since the year 2000. So if you’ve been calling for a rise in the price of the gold, you’ve been right every year except one. That’s not a broken record, that’s just understanding what’s going on and predicting a higher gold price. It’s the people that have been calling for gold’s demise every single year who don’t understand the fundamentals… No market goes up every single year… I know what’s driving the trend and that’s the central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve.”
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Peter Schiff appeared on Yahoo! Finance yesterday to explain why he thinks the US economy is going to get worse in the second half of 2014, in spite of better Q2 GDP numbers. If economic data were reported more accurately, Peter believes we would discover that the US has been in a recession for the entirety of the Obama presidency. As it is, he thinks there is a good chance we’ll enter an official recession before the end of the year.
Look at the housing data. It’s been terrible. Look at all the corporate earnings that have been coming out, particularly companies that service the middle-class and the lower-class. Earnings are disappointing. I think it’s clear that the economy is rolling over. People are buried under a mountain of debt. Prices are rising for utilities, for food. People are losing their full-time jobs [and] replacing them with low-paying part-time jobs.”
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In an exclusive interview originally published in Euro Pacific Capital’s summer issue of The Global Investor Newsletter (found here), Andrew Schiff spoke with Peter Boehringer of the German Precious Metals Society about the latest false news reports concerning Germany’s gold repatriation efforts.
A June 23 Bloomberg News story entitled “German Gold Stays in New York in Rebuff to Euro Doubters” made the seemingly straightforward case that the German authorities had decided to reverse course on a plan announced in 2012 to bring home some 300 metric tons of German gold that had been on deposit at the New York Federal Reserve since the 1960s. According to the article, German representatives had gone to New York, seen their gold, were convinced that it was in good hands, and decided that the hassle of putting it on a plane and sending it back to Germany was simply unnecessary. The article quoted a spokesman for German Chancellor Merkel who said, “the Americans are taking good care of our gold.” The article even quoted Peter Boehringer, one of the leading private advocates of the German repatriation movement, as saying their campaign to pressure German authorities “is on hold.”
Peter Schiff interviewed Doug Casey on his radio show this week. First they discussed Casey’s new short documentary Meltdown America, which warns about the looming financial and monetary collapse due to reckless central bank policies. They move on to explain to the listeners why both Peter and Doug buy physical precious metals like gold and silver to protect themselves from the current historic bubbles in the bond and stock markets.
I continue accumulating gold very regularly… It’s the only financial asset that’s not simultaneously somebody else’s liability. And I’m not interested in holding paper in the over financialized world that we’re in today… I think we’re on the edge of something much worse than what we had in 2008 and 2009. If I look around the world to places where you can put your capital, real estate is over-priced. The stock market is greatly over-priced. The bond market is in a historic bubble… So what are you left with?” –Doug Casey
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If you’ve been following the mainstream media, you might be under the false impression that the largest consumer of gold in the world – China – is no longer so enamored with the yellow metal. The financial media could not be more wrong, and it should come as no surprise to our readers that they are cherry-picking their facts. To clear up just how strong Chinese gold demand really is, Jeff Clark of Casey Research has published this in-depth analysis of the Chinese gold hoard. He clears up all sorts of common misconceptions that have been in the news lately.
