Contact us
CALL US NOW 1-888-GOLD-160
(1-888-465-3160)
POSTED ON January 5, 2017  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

dan_kurzDan Kurz is a CFA with over two decades experience working in Zurich, Switzerland as a thematic strategist for Credit Suisse CIO Office. Dan’s site, DK Analytics, offers deep and broad analysis at the macro and micro level.

 

Gold per troy ounce (toz or oz) in $ terms has slumped by a whopping 11% since the November 8, 2016 election. The dollar’s trade-weighted value, meanwhile, has risen by 4% over the same period, while the value of the 10-year Treasury has fallen by a considerable 6% and the S&P 500 has rallied by 6%. What happened? In a nutshell, perception changed. Traders bet on more fiscal stimulus-based growth, lower corporate taxes, higher federal deficits, higher nominal interest rates, and higher inflation, so stocks went up, bonds went down, and the buck went up.

POSTED ON January 4, 2017  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines

Oil prices rose and the dollar weakened Wednesday as gold futures maintained a three-week high even as the release of FOMC minutes seemed to suggest a more aggressive rate hike schedule was being considered, according to MarketWatch.

After its vote last month to raise the Federal funds rate 25 basis points, the Fed estimated three quarter-point rate increases for 2017. However, the FOMC minutes suggested there were a “number of risks” that would necessitate a “different path of policy” than they expected. One of those “risks” was clearly Trump’s stimulus plan, and the “uncertainty regarding fiscal and other economic policies.”

gold laid out to make a road

POSTED ON January 3, 2017  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines

In his latest podcast, Peter Schiff lays out why optimism for the US dollar in 2017 is just wishful thinking. Trump’s tax cuts and increased spending are likely to create only a fraction of the stimulus most people expect, given the budget deficits and national debt we face. Investor hopes also reside with Trump’s tax plan to include an import tax that would correct US trade deficits with China. However, taxing imported goods will only drive up the cost of consumer goods, negate any increase in consumer spending, and diminish the purchasing power of the dollar. Peter explains:

“When the cost of importing goes up, it’s not like Americans are just going to switch from buying goods made in China to goods make in America. No, they’re just going to have to pay more to buy the goods made in China. If they don’t have the extra money, they just won’t buy as much.  So, what’s going to happen as a result of increasing the cost of importing is that consumers will spend less and the bubble economy will deflate. There will be less consumer spending because consumers won’t have as much money or won’t be able to afford the higher prices. It’s going to have a negative effect on GDP.”

POSTED ON December 29, 2016  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines

Along with its string of celebrity deaths, presidential comebacks, and populist political movements around the globe, 2016 will also be remembered as full of dramatic market changes. Because history tends to repeat itself, here’s a look back at the top five most popular Schiff gold blog posts of 2016 that may prove beneficial for investors in 2017.

3 Reasons the Dollar Will Fall with Trump’s Fiscal Stimulus

one-dollar-bills

Peter Schiff explains that higher rates would mean a stronger return on the dollar as the cost of borrowing increases. This reasoning only works if you ignore these three realities of our current economy: Fiscal Stimulus Needs Monetary Stimulus, US Debt Increase, and Bursting the Bubble Economy.

POSTED ON December 28, 2016  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines

The prices of gold and silver are always moving, influenced by factors such as current events, market speculation, currency fluctuations, and supply and demand. In 2016, there were several events that influenced the highs and lows of the gold and silver market. For investors, staying on top of these fluctuating prices is crucial to financial success. Here are some of the events that affected the market the most:

map of the UK with the word brexit

POSTED ON December 27, 2016  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines

Economist Jim Rickards appeared on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” outlining his 2017 predictions for rate hikes, Trump stimulus, and the coming US recession. Rickards believes the markets are unwittingly pricing in a stimulus plan that will never materialize.

“Trump wants to cut taxes. Steve Bannon is talking to his advisors about a trillion dollars of infrastructure spending, cutting regulations. All of these things are viewed to be highly stimulative. That’s why the market is going up. Pharmaceuticals are going up on the repeal of Obamacare, banks going up on the repeal of Dodd-Frank.”

The markets and the Fed have the perception that tax cuts and spending will continue despite the realities of a fiscally conservative congress, a $20 trillion of debt and a 104% debt-to-GDP ratio.

POSTED ON December 22, 2016  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Buying gold and silver is a unique experience. There’s something very personal and profound about transforming your wealth into physical precious metals. At SchiffGold, my brokers and I understand the passion our customers bring to their investment portfolios. That’s why we built a brokerage service that’s customized, professional, and discrete. Help us continue to provide exceptional service. Take a moment to fill out our anonymous customer survey.

Sincerely,

Schiff signature

Chairman
SchiffGold

 

The survey is now closed. Thank you for your interest.

POSTED ON December 22, 2016  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines

The World Gold Council, a leading market development organization, released a study on global gold markets showing the retail investment market is “well positioned” for future growth. The study looked into four major markets: China, India, Germany, and the US and found healthy latent demand within every market. It also identified some interesting purchasing distinctions between developed and emerging economies.

Despite all the recent news concerning falling gold prices, world demand for gold bars and coins is still booming. Since 2006, global demand has gone from 430 tons to 1,051 tons in 2015, which is a monetary move from $10 billion to almost $40 billion, according to the study.

global economic policy index uncertainty increased

POSTED ON December 21, 2016  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines

According to a recent Financial Times survey, a majority of top economists predict the Fed won’t be as aggressive on raising interest rates as it suggests. After last week’s rate hike announcement, the Fed’s own dot plot showed it had planned for three federal funds increases for 2017, according to MarketWatch. However, the majority of economists in the Financial Times survey were confident with only one hike in June.fed raise rates graph

POSTED ON December 20, 2016  - POSTED IN Videos

Peter Schiff recently appeared on RT News and laid out how he sees gold prices and the US economy moving into 2017. Inflation vs. interest rates, the stock market bubble, and downturns in mortgage/auto financial markets were a few of the topics Peter provided insights and predictions about. He also dispelled four economic myths surrounding the Fed’s positive outlook, Trump’s fiscal plans, and how inflation impacts gold prices.

Call Now