Contact us
CALL US NOW 1-888-GOLD-160
(1-888-465-3160)

Indian Gold Market Continues to Show Signs of Revival

  by    0   0

Last month, we reported on signs of revival in the Indian gold market. Gold imports hit a 19-month high in December.

That revival has continued into 2021. Gold imports in January were up 72% year-on-year, and some shifts in government policy could give demand another shot in the arm.

India ranks as the second-largest gold consuming country in the world, second only behind China. But over the last couple of years, the gold market in India has languished. The pandemic crushed demand, particularly for gold jewelry, but record-high gold prices in rupee terms and government policy put a drag on the gold market even before COVID-19.

There were signs of a turnaround late last year and it continued through the first month of 2021.

India imported 62 tons of gold in January, according to an anonymous government source who spoke to Reuters. That was up from just 36.5 tons in January 2020. In dollar terms, January gold imports came in at $4.04 billion compared to $1.58 billion a year ago.

Indian gold imports should get another boost thanks to a cut in import duties announced last week by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman. Beginning Feb. 1, the duty on gold bars will drop from 12.5% to 7.5%. Consumers will pay 14.07% tax for refined gold compared to 16.26% previously. Analysts at the World Gold Council project the cut in import taxes could boost demand by as much as 13 tons in 2021.

A further recovery in the Indian gold market would further boost global demand and would be supportive of gold prices.

Indians traditionally buy and hold gold. Collectively, Indian households own an estimated 25,000 tons of gold and that number may be higher given the large black market in the country. The yellow metal is interwoven into the country’s marriage ceremonies and cultural rites. Indians also value gold as a store of wealth, especially in poor rural regions. Two-thirds of India’s gold demand comes from these areas, where the vast majority of people live outside the official tax system.

Gold is not just a luxury in India. Even poor people buy gold in the Asian nation. According to an ICE 360 survey in 2018, one in every two households in India purchased gold within the last five years. Overall, 87% of households in the country own some amount of the yellow metal. Even households at the lowest income levels in India own some gold. According to the survey, more than 75% of families in the bottom 10% had managed to buy gold.

While consumer demand for gold was hit hard by the pandemic, gold has helped Indians weather the economic storm caused by the coronavirus. The government response to COVID-19 ravaged the Indian economy. As a result, many banks were reluctant to extend credit due to fear of defaults. In this tight lending environment, many Indians used their stashes of gold to secure loans.

For many Indians, gold is a lifesaver, providing liquidity that they otherwise wouldn’t have.

Indians understand that gold tends to store value, and that in the end, gold is money. If they have gold, they know they will be able to get the goods and services they need – even in the event of an economic meltdown. And while westerners may not embrace the cultural and religious aspects of the Indian love affair with gold, the economic reasons for their devotion to the yellow metal are every bit as applicable in places like the US.

Get Peter Schiff’s key gold headlines in your inbox every week – click here – for a free subscription to his exclusive weekly email updates.
Interested in learning how to buy gold and buy silver?
Call 1-888-GOLD-160 and speak with a Precious Metals Specialist today!

Related Posts

Stagflation Warning: Atlanta Fed GDP Estimate at 0.5%

As governments shut down the economy in response to COVID-19 and the Federal Reserve put money printing into hyperdrive, we warned that it was a recipe for stagflation. Today, it looks like stagnation is here. Stagflation is an economic environment with rapidly rising prices, a weak labor market, and low GDP growth. It’s looking more […]

READ MORE →

Chinese Gold Demand Continues to Strengthen

Gold demand in China was up in September, as the country approaches a peak gold-buying season. Both gold withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) in September and gold imports in August were up, a sign that the Chinese gold market continues to recover after it was hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic.

READ MORE →

JP Morgan Chase CEO Worried About Higher Than Expected Inflation

With CPI data once again coming in hotter than expected, it’s getting harder and harder for the mainstream to swallow the “transitory inflation” narrative. And some people are starting to worry. During an earnings call, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon expressed concerns about higher than expected and persistent inflation ahead.

READ MORE →

American Consumers Continue to Run up Credit Card Debt

Consumer borrowing has slowed somewhat from the record level we saw in June, but Americans continue to pile on the debt. Consumer debt grew by $14.4 billion in August to $4.35 trillion, according to the latest data from the Federal Reserve. That represents a 4% increase. This follows on the heels of a 4.8% increase in […]

READ MORE →

Demand for Silver in Electronics Sector Projected to Surge

The demand for silver is expected to expand along with the continued growth in global connectivity. According to a report released by the Silver Institute, silver demand in electronics and electrical applications is projected to rise by 10% by 2025.

READ MORE →

Comments are closed.

Call Now