This is part one of three in a series exploring three key reasons why gold could be the best hedge in the event of a major market correction.
There are many stories in the news lately exploring the various ways to protect yourself from a major market correction. They talk about hedge funds shorting US municipal debt, junk bonds, and foreign bonds in Asia and the eurozone. However, hardly anyone in the media mentions the use of physical gold bullion to protect your savings from a stock market crash. We believe gold will outperform any of these conventional “safe havens” for three key reasons.
The first promising factor for gold is that it is heavily out of favor. That is to say, the financial media loathes the yellow metal. Bullish sentiment on gold is currently at its lowest level since 2004. Due to the 30% decline of gold in 2013, those who have long hated it have been doing a victory lap. This is despite the fact that gold rose nearly 600% from 2001 to 2012.
Gold’s detractors somehow see fit to celebrate being correct once in 13 years. However, being on the ball less than 8% of the time since 2001 is nothing to brag about. With that kind of batting average, they couldn’t make the cut on a little league baseball team, let alone presume to give advice on how people can protect their hard-earned wealth.
By Dickson Buchanan Jr., Director of International Development
Last week, on July 30, the Republic of Argentina was declared to be in default for the third time in 30 years.
Let’s put that into perspective. If you were a bank officer who offered a 30-year mortgage to the Government of Argentina in the early ‘90s you would have spent nearly the entire life of the loan in a perpetual nightmare of refinancing. You would likely be not only fired from your job, but a pariah in the entire industry. This is what Argentina’s international creditors and domestic citizens have faced in real life. At the time of writing this article, S&P has downgraded Argentina to CCC-, one of the lowest ratings available for sovereign governments.
Peter was interviewed by Chris Waltzek on GoldSeek Radio. They discussed the fact that gold is up 8% on the year and has done better than the stock market, and yet the so-called experts continue to say that it has had a “tough year.” Peter explained that the conditions needed for gold to break former highs over the coming years are exactly the artificially low interest rates and inflationary policies of the Federal Reserve and other worldwide central banks. Peter also spoke about how Janet Yellen is betting her positive economic forecast on the wealth effect associated with a rising real estate market, but he believes that the housing rally is over.
Everybody was expecting the stock market to be up this year. In fact, it’s up less than all the experts thought it would be, whereas those same experts expected gold to be way down on the year. Instead, it’s doing better than the stock market. And they don’t even acknowledge how wrong they were. They still pretend that they were right.”
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In his latest video blog post, Peter Schiff picks apart the last week’s US economic data, from the GDP to jobs numbers to the housing market to the performance of the Dow Jones. After explaining the endgame for the US dollar given our current economy, he lays out why the gold market is more resilient than the financial media is reporting.
Janet Yellen is not going to wage war against inflation. She’s already surrendered to inflation… She is going to allow inflation to not only continue, but accelerate. And that is what’s good for gold. Interestingly, while the gold market sold-off on the bad economic data on Thursday, it recouped all of those gains on Friday. Not so for the stock market. The stock market went down a lot and then went down even more.”
Follow us on Twitter to stay up-to-date on Peter Schiff’s latest thoughts: @SchiffGold
Interested in learning about the best ways to buy gold and silver?
Call 1-888-GOLD-160 and speak with a Precious Metals Specialist today!
Peter Schiff appeared on CNBC’s Futures Now this week to share his expectations for the price of gold following the Federal Reserve’s policy statement. Peter also predicted the higher Q2 GDP number and explained why he thinks the US dollar isn’t nearly as healthy as everyone thinks. Finally, Peter emphasized that gold has had bad press in 2014, even though it has out-performed the stock market with an 8% rise in the first six months of the year.
Gold has gone up every year but one since the year 2000. So if you’ve been calling for a rise in the price of the gold, you’ve been right every year except one. That’s not a broken record, that’s just understanding what’s going on and predicting a higher gold price. It’s the people that have been calling for gold’s demise every single year who don’t understand the fundamentals… No market goes up every single year… I know what’s driving the trend and that’s the central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve.”
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Interested in learning about the best ways to buy gold and silver?
Call 1-888-GOLD-160 and speak with a Precious Metals Specialist today!
In an exclusive interview originally published in Euro Pacific Capital’s summer issue of The Global Investor Newsletter (found here), Andrew Schiff spoke with Peter Boehringer of the German Precious Metals Society about the latest false news reports concerning Germany’s gold repatriation efforts.
A June 23 Bloomberg News story entitled “German Gold Stays in New York in Rebuff to Euro Doubters” made the seemingly straightforward case that the German authorities had decided to reverse course on a plan announced in 2012 to bring home some 300 metric tons of German gold that had been on deposit at the New York Federal Reserve since the 1960s. According to the article, German representatives had gone to New York, seen their gold, were convinced that it was in good hands, and decided that the hassle of putting it on a plane and sending it back to Germany was simply unnecessary. The article quoted a spokesman for German Chancellor Merkel who said, “the Americans are taking good care of our gold.” The article even quoted Peter Boehringer, one of the leading private advocates of the German repatriation movement, as saying their campaign to pressure German authorities “is on hold.”
Fox Business spoke with Peter Schiff on “Money with Melissa Francis,” where Peter points out that it’s not the geopolitical events that investors should be worried about, but the failed monetary policy in the US.
What I think American really have to worry about, at least from the perspective of an investor, is not what the Russian separatists are doing in the Ukraine , but what Janet Yellen and her cohorts are doing at the Federal Reserve, because far more damage is being inflicted now on the US economy and will be inflected on investors by the Federal Reserve.” – Peter Schiff
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You may have seen the explosive debate between Rick Santelli and Steve Liesman on CNBC’s Halftime Report this week. Santelli admittedly “blew a gasket” when he began to challenge the conventional “wisdom” that the Federal Reserve has actually helped the economy with its quantitative easing. So was Santelli completely off-base? Has the Fed’s stimulus been successful? Absolutely not. In a longer segment on his radio show this week, Peter Schiff reviewed Santelli’s points and defended his argument that the Fed’s stimulus is actually laying the groundwork for much worse economic woes.
When the collapse finally comes, they’re going to say, ‘Nobody could have seen this coming!’ … They’re not going to realize that this phony recovery and the economic monetary policy behind it is going to be the reason for the next crisis. But because it takes years to unfold, they can’t connect the dots, and they think that anybody who saw it early and warned about it is just a stopped clock.”
Follow us on Twitter to stay up-to-date on Peter Schiff’s latest thoughts: @SchiffGold
Interested in learning about the best ways to buy gold and silver?
Call 1-888-GOLD-160 and speak with a Precious Metals Specialist today!
In the first edition of the new Gold Videocast, Peter delivers his verdict on the gold market for the first half of 2014, analyzes Janet Yellen’s performance so far as Fed Chair, and makes some contrarian forecasts for the rest of the year.
By Peter Schiff
Even investors who typically eschew precious metals have been hard-pressed to ignore the platinum industry this year. The longest strike in South African history paired with surging Asian demand is set to push the metal back into a physical deficit in 2014 – and could have repercussions for years to come. While gold remains the most conservative choice for saving, the “industrial precious metal” platinum is a compelling investment for those, like me, who are bullish on global net economic growth.
