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Guest Commentaries

Former Fed Governor: Central Bankers Need Humility (Video)

POSTED ON March 31, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries, Interviews, Videos

Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” that the Fed’s wishy-washy language and behavior has been spoiling the financial markets. Every nuanced speech of central bankers can influence markets, making it impossible for Americans to get a true idea of how the economy is behaving. Warsh finds it disturbing that the Fed has run its quantitative easing and interest rate experiments for 7 years while ignoring real economic indicators.

Warsh believes Fed officials have fallen prey to “groupthink,” which has put them completely out of touch with normal Americans. In this 2-part interview, Warsh says exactly what Peter Schiff believes, only less pointedly — not only has the economy not legitimately recovered, but it’s in for a rude awakening when the Fed’s policies drag it down again.

Another remarkable thing about this interview is the lack of push-back from the CNBC anchors. In fact, they agreed with Warsh that the Fed is relying too much on stock market performance to inform its decisions. Warsh concluded that central bankers need to change their attitude:

The most important thing that all central bankers should have right now is humility. We have never run this experiment, which we should all describe as radical. The idea that we somehow suggest that it is riskless to stay at these sorts of rates 7 years into a recovery strikes me as unnecessary.”

Part 1

Unlike the Dollar, Gold Could Withstand a Rate Raise (Video)

POSTED ON March 31, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries, Interviews, Videos

Frank Holmes, Chief Executive at US Global Investors, told Kitco News that an interest rate hike would send the stock market plummeting. In fact, he thinks a drop in the market would far outpace any dip in gold prices. At the same time, problems with mining exploration means that both gold reserves and supply are going to shrink in the next several years. Holmes emphasized that it’s important to ignore the “short-term noise” of asset prices. Gold is an important asset class, and provides a buffer against a plunging stock market.

Gold Is a Window to the World (Video)

POSTED ON March 30, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries, Interviews, Videos

Kitco News interviewed CME Group’s Executive Director of Metals Products Harriet Hunnable, who talked about how the rise of China’s renminbi is opening up more trade for gold. While her analysis was a bit technical, Hunnable’s ultimate point was that gold is a “fantastic commodity” that holds universal appeal for trade. Rising demand for gold in Asia is just the latest reason to want it in your portfolio.

The Fed’s Sole Purpose Is to Mislead the Public (Audio)

POSTED ON March 30, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries, Interviews, Videos

Tom Woods and Mark Thornton, Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute, discuss the Federal Reserve’s long history of being completely wrong about the state of the United States economy. He shared some choice quotes from Fed officials in which they claimed the economy was in great shape just before the 2008 crash. Instead of working to improve its forecasts, the Fed strives to have as many economists agree with its position as possible, giving it an air of authority. As Thornton put it:

The reality is that this whole thing is a con game where they’re taking advantage of us, and they’re doing so with fancy words and misleading languages. So you have to understand that that’s what the Fed is about. They’re operating an economy, a monetary system, and a banking system where money is just pieces of paper… They’re always trying to build confidence, and they use the language of the Federal Reserve to try to mislead people about what’s really going on.”

The Fed Has Become Far Too Powerful (Video)

POSTED ON March 27, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries, Interviews, Videos

Jim Grant told Fox Business that the Federal Reserve has kept itself in emergency mode for too long, with interest rates near zero for almost 7 years. In fact, remaining in emergency mode has only made the next emergency more likely. Grant fears that central banks (the Fed in particular) have become far too powerful in their ability to bail out irresponsible bankers by destroying the wealth of savers.

The Fed, the government… are instituting a de facto nationalization of essential banking activities… It can’t be that the single purpose of banking is to prevent banks from going bankrupt. Yet this has become in effect the policy of our minders at the Federal Reserve. They are becoming quite all-powerful…”

Rickards: The Fed’s Strategy Doesn’t Add Up (Video)

POSTED ON March 27, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries, Interviews, Videos

Jim Rickards spoke to ABC News Australia about the long-term costs of devaluing currency. Sustained economic growth cannot come from devaluation when the entire world is cheapening their currency at once. Instead, people just lose their purchasing power and global inflation is the long-term result. Like Peter Schiff, he warned that the Federal Reserve won’t be raising rates any time soon and that the world faces a fiscal crisis bigger than the crash in 2008.

15 03 27 Rickards ABC

The Economy Needs a Recession (Video)

POSTED ON March 27, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries, Videos

John Tamny, Political Economy Editor at Forbes, spoke to the Austrian Economics Research Conference about the roots of the Great Depression, the financial crisis, and the Great Recession. He explained how most modern economists ignore important economic fundamentals, or simply misunderstand them. For example, contrary to popular belief, governments cannot stimulate demand by simply spending more. He also focused on the beauty of recessions, which allow an economy to cleanse itself of bad business practices. Like Peter Schiff, Tamny argues that the US needs to experience a painful, but necessary recession sooner than later to truly heal its economy.

China Is Working to Make the US Obsolete (Video)

POSTED ON March 26, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries, Interviews, Videos

Alasdair Macleod, head of research for GoldMoney, explained to USAWatchdog that America is losing influence in international banking. China is steadily gaining more support for a new bank that would finance major infrastructure projects in developing countries.

The Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) represents enormous investment potential by creating an Asian market enveloping more than half the world’s population. China already has support for the AIIB from countries throughout Asia, the Middle East, and the eurozone. However, it is doubtful that China will ever invite the United States to be a member. In fact, it would probably prefer the US dollar to play no part in the what would be the largest market the world has ever seen.

The US is being left in the dust in other ways as well. While China continues to buy up gold, Macleod warned that almost all Western traders fail to understand the value of the commodity. To compete with the growing economic powerhouses in Asia, the US should adopt a similar strategy of gold accumulation and simultaneously stop flooding the world with dollars that will have to return home one day.

Why the US Economy Has Not Recovered in 10 Charts

POSTED ON March 24, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries

Peter Schiff isn’t the only one warning that the economic data of the United States is much worse than the media portrays. Michael Snyder has shared 10 charts pulled straights from the Federal Reserve’s own records that show how things have gotten worse since last crisis, not better. Some of these are points Peter has raised time and again, such as the low labor force participation rate. You can see it has been ticking steadily lower since the turn of the millennium.

15 03 24 Labor-Force-Participation-Rate

However, Snyder goes on at length about a number of other important data points. Whether he is looking at the ballooning national debt or the velocity of money, he draws attention to the most important key fact:

Rising Debt Is a Global Problem

POSTED ON March 23, 2015  - POSTED IN Guest Commentaries

An article from the New York Post pointed out that many analysts are joining Peter Schiff in saying that the global debt explosion is unsustainable. In fact, it’s pushing countries around the world towards yet another precipice of financial collapse. The Post cites some grim statistics of American and global debt:

  • Global debt has expanded $57 trillion since 2007, reaching a total of $199 trillion last year.
  • Total US debt was $40 trillion last year, or 233% of US gross domestic product.
  • Even the Atlanta Fed has cut its estimate for first-quarter GDP growth to 0.3%.
  • Central banks in the eurozone adopted a $60 billion per month QE program, pushing bonds to an all-time low.

15 03 23 global debt