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Original Analysis

POSTED ON January 5, 2017  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

dan_kurzDan Kurz is a CFA with over two decades experience working in Zurich, Switzerland as a thematic strategist for Credit Suisse CIO Office. Dan’s site, DK Analytics, offers deep and broad analysis at the macro and micro level.

 

Gold per troy ounce (toz or oz) in $ terms has slumped by a whopping 11% since the November 8, 2016 election. The dollar’s trade-weighted value, meanwhile, has risen by 4% over the same period, while the value of the 10-year Treasury has fallen by a considerable 6% and the S&P 500 has rallied by 6%. What happened? In a nutshell, perception changed. Traders bet on more fiscal stimulus-based growth, lower corporate taxes, higher federal deficits, higher nominal interest rates, and higher inflation, so stocks went up, bonds went down, and the buck went up.

POSTED ON December 22, 2016  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Buying gold and silver is a unique experience. There’s something very personal and profound about transforming your wealth into physical precious metals. At SchiffGold, my brokers and I understand the passion our customers bring to their investment portfolios. That’s why we built a brokerage service that’s customized, professional, and discrete. Help us continue to provide exceptional service. Take a moment to fill out our anonymous customer survey.

Sincerely,

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POSTED ON December 12, 2016  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

The United States of America was founded on the principals of limited government and sound money.  Today we have neither.  The growth of the former has largely been a function of its ability to abolish the latter.  A dollar was original defined as a specific weight of gold or silver, and the Constitution limited the power of the states to make anything other than gold or silver legal tender.   As the Federal Government was given no power to make anything legal tender, and since the Federal Government only has those powers expressly granted to it by the Constitution, gold and silver are still the only Constitutional forms of money authorized in the United States.
peter schiff standing in front of an American flag

POSTED ON December 7, 2016  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

Shubhendu PathakThis article was submitted by Shubhendu Pathak, a finance professional working in the Bay Area. Past: Capital One Shubhendu earned his Bachelors (B.Tech) and Masters (M.Tech) from IIT Delhi, and MBA with a concentration in Finance from Emory University.

Seeking Alpha published my two articles Will India Be The First Domino To Fall? and You Can’t Just Invest On Hope in which I predicted a currency crisis in India. On November 08, 2016, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the demonetization of 500 ($7.5) and 1,000 ($15) rupee notes, which constitute more than 85% of the currency in circulation. These notes ceased to exist as legal tenders on the night of the announcement. People can deposit them in their bank accounts before December 30, but cannot withdraw more than $350 in a week.

view of a busy street in India

POSTED ON November 10, 2016  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

In an interview with RT News Tuesday night just as the election was getting started, Peter Schiff showed, once again, his acumen and insight for reading economic and political situations correctly. After Larry King asked if the election’s comparison to Brexit was appropriate, Peter accurately described the simmering voter angst at the economy and predicted the existence of a “hidden vote” for Trump that would soon prove to have eluded pollsters.
 

POSTED ON August 25, 2016  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

No other economic concept has created as much confusion and in-fighting among economists as the idea of inflation. Along with its antithesis deflation, they have been the boon and bane of many monetary policy makers, detractors, and admirers for decades.

But what does inflation really mean? How does it affect the average business owner or the average individual?  More importantly, how do governments and central banks use inflation to justify their own actions? These are essential questions to understand for anyone interested in making informed decisions to protect their wealth.

Businessman standing under a graph

POSTED ON July 27, 2016  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines, Original Analysis

A new study by the Evans School of Public Policy and Governance shows Seattle’s minimum wage increase has also increased unemployment. No surprise there given what happened in Puerto Rico. Basic economics states the higher the price of something, the less that something will be purchased. In the case of Seattle’s experiment of increasing their minimum wage to $15 an hour, it seems that something was low-skilled jobs.

Seattle skylineAdmittedly, Seattle has experienced an economic boom since the city first instigated its stair-stepped wage increase. One of the city’s biggest growth sectors is in the labor market. However, according to the Seattle Times, “Much of that success, though, can be attributed to trends separate from the minimum-wage law itself, such as the growth of Seattle’s tech sector and its construction boom.”

POSTED ON July 20, 2016  - POSTED IN Key Gold Headlines, Original Analysis

As precious metals resume their long-term bull market in 2016, investors are once again asking the perennial question – should I buy ETFs or physical metals?

With the gold price on the rise, gold funds and stocks recently experienced the largest one-week inflows on record. Mainstream investors seem to prefer “paper gold” in times of uncertainty. But are these assets the right choice for your portfolio?

Or worse – could ETFs even cost you money over time?

SchiffGold now has the definitive guide to precious metals ETFs like GLD and SLV. In ETFs vs. Physical Precious Metals: Comparing GLD to Gold, we get to the bottom of the debate. This FREE white paper will teach you:

  • The misunderstood costs of gold and silver ETFs.
  • The potential effects of economic crises on various assets.
  • Which asset offers no counterparty risk and financial privacy.

Click Here to Download the Free White Paper

POSTED ON July 9, 2016  - POSTED IN Original Analysis

SchiffGold is excited to announce that we will be merging with GoldMoney (formerly Bitgold), a rapidly growing financial technology company that offers a diverse variety of gold-based products. By combining forces, Peter Schiff will be joining the likes of well-known gold experts, James Turk and Eric Sprott.

This joint venture will enhance the services SchiffGold can offer our customers and the reach we will have on the global market. Our formula will stay the same – SchiffGold will continue providing personal service to our customers, expert 1-on-1 guidance, and among the lowest pricing for physical gold and silver in the industry.

The GoldMoney/SchiffGold team share a like-minded passion for gold and offering the highest quality services to our customers. With the help of our existing and future customers, we look forward to re-introducing gold into the modern-day-world.

In this video Peter Schiff explains the details of the merger and touches on the exciting enhancements of GoldMoney’s offerings. Peter Schiff speaks with GoldMoney’s co-founder and commodity king Josh Crumb. This fun and highly educational video is a must watch!

POSTED ON June 30, 2016  - POSTED IN Original Analysis, Videos

If you’ve been waiting to buy gold and silver the wait is over.

In his most recent Gold Videocast, Peter Schiff looks at how the price of silver has just surged to a high it hasn’t seen since January of last year. In the aftermath of Brexit, Peter takes this as a good sign that the prices of both gold and silver are about to really break out and begin moving up in significant bursts. Now that gold is holding steady above $1,300 an ounce, investors who have been waiting on the sidelines to buy should consider acting soon – before sellers start hoarding their metals as the prices move up.

Peter’s forecast is based less on the United Kingdom leaving the European Union, and more on what is going to happen in America. Peter reiterated what he said in his recent appearance on CNBC’s Trading Nations: the Brexit basically gave Janet Yellen a get out of jail free card:

I believe the Federal Reserve is going to use the turmoil in the markets that followed that vote as the excuse it’s been waiting for not only not to raise rates, but to cut rates and to launch QE4. In fact, that is the main reason, I believe, that the markets have recovered somewhat from their Brexit related losses. Because if you look at the financial markets, they are now pricing in for the first time a higher probability that the next move by the Federal Reserve will be to cut rates, not to raise them.”